Risk stratification for secondary prophylaxis of gastric varices due to portal hypertension

Gastroesophageal variceal hemorrhage is a common complication associated with portal hypertension. Current guidelines provide well-established recommendations for esophageal varices, while that of gastric varices remain scarce and lack evidential strength. The aim of the study is to identify a feasible risk stratification method based on imaging findings to evaluate patient response to cyanoacrylate injection for the treatment of gastric varices.

A prospective cohort study including patients diagnosed with gastric varices admitted for initial secondary prophylactic treatment for GV was conducted. Routine endoscopic examination and endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) were performed on all subjects to evaluate extraluminal collaterals. All patients with gastric varices were treated uniformly with cyanoacrylate injection. Patients were prospectively followed for at least 12 months and any occurrence of variceal rebleed was recorded.

102 subjects were enrolled in the study, 66.7% had GOV Type 2, 27.5% had GOV Type 1 and 5.9% had IGV Type 1. During the 12 months follow-up, 33.3% patients experienced variceal rebleed. A risk assessment scoring system was proposed based on endoscopic and EUS findings. A Cox regression analysis demonstrated a significant association between the merited risk score and incidence of variceal rebleed (P < 0.001).

Presence of red wales sign, size of varix, and presence of para-gastric vein were all independent risk factors for variceal rebleed after endoscopic therapy for the treatment of gastric varices. Early identification of this subgroup, especially those with higher risk scores, necessitates a change in course of treatment, which can improve prognosis and overall patient outcome.