Factors Affecting Combination Trial Success (FACTS): Investigator Survey Results on Early-Phase Combination Trials

Channing J Paller1, Erich P Huang2, Thomas Luechtefeld3

  • 1Department of Oncology, Sidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States.

Frontiers in Medicine
|June 20, 2019
PubMed

Insights

Most experimental cancer drug combinations fail early trials. However, investigator-perceived "clinical promise" in phase 1 trials significantly boosts advancement toward regulatory approval, suggesting subjective assessment aids drug development.

Area of Science:

  • Oncology
  • Clinical Trials
  • Drug Development

Background:

  • Experimental cancer therapeutics are often combined to overcome tumor resistance.
  • However, most combination trials show insufficient safety and efficacy for advancement.
  • Early-phase combination trials face significant hurdles in demonstrating clinical benefit.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the trial design and regulatory progression of early-phase oncology combination therapy trials.
  • To identify factors associated with successful advancement of combination agents through clinical development.
  • To assess concordance of trial designs with Clinical Trial Design Task Force (CTD-TF) recommendations.

Main Methods:

  • Survey data collected from Principal Investigators (PIs) of phase 1 combination therapy trials (2003-2017).
  • Analysis of trial progression rates to phase 2, phase 3, and regulatory approval.
  • Assessment of study design concordance with CTD-TF recommendations and impact of 'clinical promise' on outcomes.

Main Results:

  • Only 24.9% of phase 1 combination trials progressed to phase 2 or further; 18.7% reached phase 3 or regulatory approval.
  • Investigator-defined "clinical promise" was strongly associated with higher advancement rates (cumulative OR = 11.9; p = 0.0002).
  • Phase 1 trial designs showed high concordance (79.6%) with CTD-TF Recommendations, with most deviations in trials lacking expected PK/PD interactions.

Conclusions:

  • Investigator assessment of "clinical promise" in early-phase combination trials is a significant predictor of successful progression.
  • While trial designs generally align with recommendations, awareness may be needed for optimizing designs when pharmacokinetic or pharmacodynamic interactions are not anticipated.
  • Improving early-phase combination trial strategies could enhance the translation of novel therapeutics to approved cancer treatments.

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