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Factors Affecting Combination Trial Success (FACTS): Investigator Survey Results on Early-Phase Combination Trials
Channing J Paller1, Erich P Huang2, Thomas Luechtefeld3
1Department of Oncology, Sidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States.
Abstract:
Experimental therapeutic oncology agents are often combined to circumvent tumor resistance to individual agents. However, most combination trials fail to demonstrate sufficient safety and efficacy to advance to a later phase. This study collected survey data on phase 1 combination therapy trials identified from ClinicalTrials.gov between January 1, 2003 and November 30, 2017 to assess trial design and the progress of combinations toward regulatory approval. Online surveys (N = 289, 23 questions total) were emailed to Principal Investigators (PIs) of early-phase National Cancer Institute and/or industry trials; 263 emails (91%) were received and 113 surveys completed (43%). Among phase 1 combination trials, 24.9% (95%CI: 15.3%, 34.4%) progressed to phase 2 or further; 18.7% (95%CI: 5.90%, 31.4%) progressed to phase 3 or regulatory approval; and 12.4% (95%CI: 0.00%, 25.5%) achieved regulatory approval. Observations of "clinical promise" in phase 1 combination studies were associated with higher rates of advancement past each milestone toward regulatory approval (cumulative OR = 11.9; p = 0.0002). Phase 1 combination study designs were concordant with Clinical Trial Design Task Force (CTD-TF) Recommendations 79.6% of the time (95%CI: 72.2%, 87.1%). Most discordances occurred where no plausible pharmacokinetic or pharmacodynamic interactions were expected. Investigator-defined "clinical promise" of a combination is associated with progress toward regulatory approval. Although concordance between study designs of phase 1 combination trials and CTD-TF Recommendations was relatively high, it may be beneficial to raise awareness about the best study design to use when no plausible pharmacokinetic or pharmacodynamic interactions are expected.
Insights
Most experimental cancer drug combinations fail early trials. However, investigator-perceived "clinical promise" in phase 1 trials significantly boosts advancement toward regulatory approval, suggesting subjective assessment aids drug development.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Clinical Trials
- Drug Development
Background:
- Experimental cancer therapeutics are often combined to overcome tumor resistance.
- However, most combination trials show insufficient safety and efficacy for advancement.
- Early-phase combination trials face significant hurdles in demonstrating clinical benefit.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the trial design and regulatory progression of early-phase oncology combination therapy trials.
- To identify factors associated with successful advancement of combination agents through clinical development.
- To assess concordance of trial designs with Clinical Trial Design Task Force (CTD-TF) recommendations.
Main Methods:
- Survey data collected from Principal Investigators (PIs) of phase 1 combination therapy trials (2003-2017).
- Analysis of trial progression rates to phase 2, phase 3, and regulatory approval.
- Assessment of study design concordance with CTD-TF recommendations and impact of 'clinical promise' on outcomes.
Main Results:
- Only 24.9% of phase 1 combination trials progressed to phase 2 or further; 18.7% reached phase 3 or regulatory approval.
- Investigator-defined "clinical promise" was strongly associated with higher advancement rates (cumulative OR = 11.9; p = 0.0002).
- Phase 1 trial designs showed high concordance (79.6%) with CTD-TF Recommendations, with most deviations in trials lacking expected PK/PD interactions.
Conclusions:
- Investigator assessment of "clinical promise" in early-phase combination trials is a significant predictor of successful progression.
- While trial designs generally align with recommendations, awareness may be needed for optimizing designs when pharmacokinetic or pharmacodynamic interactions are not anticipated.
- Improving early-phase combination trial strategies could enhance the translation of novel therapeutics to approved cancer treatments.
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