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First Strike-Second Strike Strategies in Metastatic Cancer: Lessons from the Evolutionary Dynamics of Extinction
Robert A Gatenby1,2,3, Jingsong Zhang4, Joel S Brown5,3
1Cancer Biology and Evolution Program, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, Florida. robert.gatenby@moffitt.org.
Abstract:
While clinical cancer research has produced many highly effective drugs, the diversity and evolutionary capacity of most cancer populations remain insurmountable barriers to cure. Here, we propose that curative outcomes may, nevertheless, be achieved by sequencing therapies that are individually effective but noncurative. Basic principles for such an approach are derived from the eco-evolutionary dynamics of background extinctions in which a "first strike" reduces the size and heterogeneity of the population. When followed immediately by demographic and ecological "second strikes," the population can be reduced below some minimum threshold, leading inevitably to extinction. This strategy bears strong similarity to the empirically-derived curative therapy in childhood acute lymphocytic leukemia.
Insights
Sequencing noncurative cancer therapies can achieve cures by reducing tumor heterogeneity and size. This eco-evolutionary strategy, akin to background extinctions, clears cancer populations for potential eradication.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Evolutionary Biology
- Mathematical Biology
Background:
- Cancer's diversity and evolution present significant challenges to achieving cures.
- Current cancer therapies, while effective, often fail to eradicate the disease due to tumor adaptability.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a novel therapeutic strategy for achieving curative outcomes in cancer.
- To explore the application of eco-evolutionary principles to cancer treatment sequencing.
Main Methods:
- Deriving principles from eco-evolutionary dynamics, specifically background extinction models.
- Modeling a "first strike" to reduce tumor size and heterogeneity, followed by "second strikes" to induce extinction.
Main Results:
- A "first strike" followed by immediate "second strikes" can reduce cancer populations below a critical threshold.
- This sequenced approach can lead to the inevitable extinction of cancer populations.
Conclusions:
- Curative cancer outcomes may be achievable through carefully sequenced, individually noncurative therapies.
- The proposed strategy shows parallels with successful treatments like that for childhood acute lymphocytic leukemia.
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