Genetically-guided algorithm development and sample size optimization for age-related macular degeneration cases and...

Electronic health records (EHRs) linked to extensive biorepositories and supplemented with lifestyle, behavioral, and environmental exposure data, have enormous potential to contribute to genomic discovery, a necessary step in the pathway towards translational or precision medicine. A major bottleneck in incorporating EHRs into genomic studies is the extraction of research-grade variables for analysis, particularly when gold-standard measurements are not available or accessible. Here we develop algorithms for age-related macular degeneration (AMD), a common cause of blindness among the elderly, and controls free of AMD. These computable phenotypes were developed using billing codes (ICD-9-CM and ICD-10-CM) and Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes and evaluated in two study sites of the Veterans Affairs Million Veteran Program: Louis Stokes Cleveland VA Medical Center and the Providence VA Medical Center. After establishing a high overall positive and negative predictive values (93% and 95%, respectively) through manual chart review, the candidate algorithm was deployed in the full VA MVP dataset of >500,000 participants. The algorithm was then optimized in a data cube using a variety of approaches including adjusting inclusion age thresholds by examining previously-reported genetic associations for CFH (rs10801555, a proxy for rs1061170) and ARMS2 (rs10490924). The algorithm with the smallest p-values for the known genetic associations was selected for downstream and on-going AMD genomic discovery efforts. This two-phase approach to developing research-grade case/control variables for AMD genomic studies capitalizes on established genetic associations resulting in high precision and optimized sample sizes, an approach that can be applied to other large-scale biobanks linked to EHRs for precision medicine research.