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Derivation and validation of a formula for paediatric tracheal tube size using bootstrap resampling procedure
M Ganesh Kumar1, Meenakshi Atteri2, Yatindra K Batra3
1Department of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India.
Insights
Child length accurately predicts uncuffed tracheal tube size better than age or weight. A new formula, the Paediatric Tube Size Predictor (PTSP), based on length, correctly identifies the optimal uncuffed tracheal tube size in 75% of children.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Anesthesiology
- Airway Management
- Medical Device Sizing
Background:
- Accurate uncuffed tracheal tube (TT) size selection is critical for pediatric airway management.
- Existing age-, length-, and weight-based formulas show variable accuracy in predicting optimal TT size.
- There is a need for a reliable method to determine appropriate TT size in Indian children.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive accuracy of age, length, and weight for uncuffed TT size in Indian children.
- To derive and validate a new formula for predicting uncuffed TT size using the most accurate predictor.
- To improve the safety and efficacy of tracheal intubation in pediatric patients.
Main Methods:
- Prospective study of 100 children (1-8 years) undergoing general anesthesia and tracheal intubation.
- Leak test used to confirm correct uncuffed TT size.
- Bootstrap resampling to assess predictors (age, weight, length) and their combinations.
- Derivation of the Paediatric Tube Size Predictor (PTSP) formula.
- Validation of PTSP in a separate cohort of 150 children.
Main Results:
- Child length (L, in meters) was the best single predictor of uncuffed TT size (R² = 0.61).
- The derived PTSP formula is: internal diameter = 3L + 2.5.
- PTSP demonstrated 75% accuracy in predicting the correct uncuffed TT size in the validation cohort.
- Re-intubation was linked to increased respiratory morbidity compared to single tracheal intubation.
Conclusions:
- Child length is a superior predictor of uncuffed TT size compared to age and weight.
- The PTSP formula, utilizing child length, provides accurate uncuffed TT size prediction in 75% of pediatric cases.
- The PTSP formula offers a valuable tool for optimizing uncuffed TT selection in pediatric patients, potentially reducing complications.
Background And Aims:
The accuracy of age-, length- and weight-based formulae to predict optimal size of uncuffed tracheal tubes (TTs) in children varies widely. We determined the accuracy of age, length and weight in predicting the size of TT in Indian children, and derived and validated a formula using the best predictor.
Methods:
In the derivation phase, 100 children aged 1-8 years undergoing general anaesthesia and tracheal intubation with an uncuffed tube were prospectively studied. The correct size of the TT used was confirmed using the leak test. A bootstrap resampling procedure was used to estimate the accuracy of the predictors (age, weight, or length alone; length and age; length and weight; and length, weight and age). The best predictor was used to derive a formula (Paediatric Tube Size Predictor, PTSP) to calculate the size of TT. The accuracy of PTSP was tested in 150 children of the same age group in the validation phase.
Results:
Length (L (in meters), R 2 = 0.61) was the best single predictor of the size of TT and was used to derive the PTSP as internal diameter = 3L + 2.5. In the validation phase, the PTSP predicted the size of TT correctly in 75% of children. Re-intubation was associated with a higher incidence of respiratory morbidity than one-time tracheal intubation.
Conclusion:
Length of the child predicts the size of an uncuffed TT better than age and weight. The PTSP formula based on length correctly predicts the size of uncuffed TT in 75% of children.
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