Optimal cut-off threshold in pulse pressure predicting cardiovascular death among newly diagnosed end-stage renal disease patients: A prospective cohort study
Related Experiment Video
Updated: Jan 22, 2026

In Silico Clinical Trials for Cardiovascular Disease
Published on: May 27, 2022
Zheng Wang1, Dahai Yu1,2, Yamei Cai1
1Department of Nephrology, the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.
Insights
Pulse pressure (PP) is a key predictor of cardiovascular death risk in patients starting peritoneal dialysis (PD) for end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Optimal PP for lowest mortality risk ranges from 56-64 mmHg.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Cardiology
- Clinical Epidemiology
Background:
- Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the primary cause of mortality in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients undergoing dialysis.
- Pulse pressure (PP) is recognized as an independent prognostic factor for cardiovascular risk.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the dose-response association between pulse pressure (PP) and the risk of cardiovascular mortality in patients initiating peritoneal dialysis (PD).
Main Methods:
- A cohort study utilized data from the Henan Peritoneal Dialysis Registry (HPDR) from 2007-2014.
- Pulse pressure was measured at PD initiation, with cardiovascular mortality assessed within two years.
- Spline models were employed to explore dose-response relationships, controlling for covariables.
Main Results:
- A significant non-linear relationship was observed between PP and the risk of 2-year cardiovascular mortality (P < .001).
- The lowest risk of cardiovascular mortality was associated with a PP range of 56-64 mmHg (specifically 61 mmHg).
Conclusions:
- Pulse pressure serves as a valuable prognostic factor for short-term cardiovascular mortality risk in ESRD patients initiating PD.
- Maintaining a pulse pressure between 56-64 mmHg may be associated with the lowest risk of cardiovascular death in this population.
Abstract:
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) treated by dialysis. Pulse pressure (PP) as an independent prognostic factor of cardiovascular risk might be clinically implicated in predicting the short-term deaths due to cardiovascular diseases in ESRD patients. This study aimed to investigate the dose-response association between PP and risk of cardiovascular mortality in patients initializing peritoneal dialysis (PD). All patients registered with the Henan Peritoneal Dialysis Registry (HPDR) between 2007 and 2014 were incorporated in the current cohort study. PP was assessed by the date of initialisation of PD and cardiovascular mortality in 2 years after the initialisation of PD was defined as the outcome. All accessible clinical measurements were screened as covariables. Further dose-response relationships between PP and risks were explored using spline models. There was a non-linear relationship between PP and the risk of 2-year death for a cardiovascular diseases (P <.001 for linearity test). The PP associated with the lowest risk of cardiovascular mortality was 61 (95% CI 56-64) mmHg. In ESRD patients initializing PD, PP is a good prognostic factor of risk of short-term cardiovascular mortality. The risk is lowest with a PP of 56 to 64 mmHg.
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