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Mathematical Global Dynamics and Control Strategies on Echinococcus multilocularis Infection.

A S Hassan1, J M W Munganga1

  • 1Department of Mathematical Sciences, College of Science, Engineering and Technology, Florida Science Campus, University of South Africa (UNISA), Pretoria 0003, South Africa.

Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine
|July 9, 2019
PubMed
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This summary is machine-generated.

Controlling Echinococcus multilocularis, a parasite causing human echinococcosis, requires targeting both red foxes and the environment. Environmental disinfection shows a greater impact than treating foxes alone for disease control.

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Area of Science:

  • Parasitology
  • Epidemiology
  • Mathematical Modeling

Background:

  • Echinococcus multilocularis causes human echinococcosis, a significant parasitic zoonosis.
  • Transmission involves a predator-prey cycle between red foxes and voles, with environmental contamination playing a role.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and analyze a mathematical model for Echinococcus multilocularis transmission dynamics.
  • To evaluate the effectiveness of red fox treatment and environmental disinfection as control strategies.

Main Methods:

  • Formulation and rigorous analysis of a new transmission dynamics model.
  • Computation of the control reproduction number to determine model equilibria.
  • Calculation of elasticity indices and partial rank correlation coefficients.

Main Results:

  • Environmental disinfection alone demonstrated a more positive impact on infection control than red fox treatment alone.
  • Key parameters influencing disease dynamics locally and globally were identified.
  • Numerical experiments simulated the effects of different intervention strategies.

Conclusions:

  • Combined interventions targeting red fox treatment and environmental disinfection can effectively control Echinococcus multilocularis transmission.
  • Environmental disinfection is a crucial component for managing this parasitic disease.