Hospitalization Risk among Older Adults with Chronic Kidney Disease

Eugenia Wong1, Shoshana H Ballew2, Natalie Daya2

  • 1Department of Epidemiology, Welch Center for Prevention, Epidemiology, and Clinical Research, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA, eugeniasw@unc.edu.

Insights

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) staging effectively predicts hospitalization risk in older adults. Higher CKD risk stages correlate with significantly increased hospitalization rates, underscoring the importance of accurate staging for this population.

Area of Science:

  • Nephrology
  • Geriatrics
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is prevalent in older adults, a demographic also at high risk for hospitalization.
  • Current CKD staging relies on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR), but its association with hospitalization risk in the elderly is not fully understood.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the relationship between CKD risk stages and all-cause hospitalization risk in older adults.
  • To compare the impact of using creatinine-based eGFR (eGFRcr) versus cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRcys) for CKD staging and hospitalization risk assessment.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of 4,766 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study.
  • CKD staging using Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria with eGFRcr and ACR.
  • Negative binomial regression to analyze hospitalization incidence rates and cause-specific risks.
  • Quantification of CKD prevalence and hospitalization risks using eGFRcys.

Main Results:

  • A significant association was found between KDIGO CKD risk stages and hospitalization rates, with "very high risk" stages showing rates over 1000 per 1000 person-years.
  • Increased hospitalization risk persisted across adjusted analyses, cause-specific hospitalizations, and when using eGFRcys or combined eGFRcr-cys.
  • Staging with eGFRcys identified a higher CKD prevalence (50%) compared to eGFRcr, while maintaining similar high hospitalization risks.

Conclusions:

  • Decreased eGFR, increased ACR, and KDIGO risk stages are strong predictors of hospitalization in older adults.
  • The observed relationships were consistent regardless of the eGFR marker used, though eGFRcys indicated a higher CKD prevalence.
  • Older adults with very high CKD risk stages face hospitalization rates exceeding 500 per 1000 person-years, highlighting a critical need for risk stratification.
Abstract

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