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Updated: Jan 22, 2026

Lumped-Parameter and Finite Element Modeling of Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction
Published on: February 13, 2021
Similar predictive value of six-minute walking distance and B-type natriuretic peptide in heart failure with reduced
Angela Beatrice Scardovi1, Renata De Maria, Gian Giacomo Galeotti
1Cardiology Division, Santo Spirito Hospital, Rome. ab.scardovi@libero.it.
Insights
Brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and the six-minutes walking test (6MWT) effectively predict outcomes in heart failure (HF) patients across ejection fraction ranges. These tests offer valuable prognostic insights for both heart failure with mid-range ejection fraction (HFmrEF) and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Heart Failure Research
- Clinical Prognostics
Background:
- Prognostic value of heart failure with mid-range ejection fraction (HFmrEF) remains unclear.
- Existing prognostic tools may not fully capture risk across the spectrum of left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction.
- Understanding risk stratification in HFmrEF compared to heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) is crucial.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive power of the six-minutes walking test (6MWT) and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) for outcomes in heart failure (HF) patients.
- To determine if the HFmrEF classification impacts the risk stratification abilities of 6MWT and BNP.
- To assess prognostic value across the full spectrum of LV systolic dysfunction.
Main Methods:
- Study included 538 outpatients with stable chronic HF and LV ejection fraction (LVEF) <50%, categorized into HFmrEF (n=349) and HFrEF (n=189).
- Utilized 6MWT distance and plasma BNP levels as prognostic markers.
- Follow-up for all-cause and cardiac death over a median of 32 months, with multivariable analysis adjusting for clinical factors.
Main Results:
- Both BNP (cut-off 125 pg/ml) and 6MWT (cut-off 360 meters) independently predicted all-cause and cardiac mortality.
- These markers retained prognostic value across LVEF strata, outperforming the 40% LVEF threshold.
- Higher BNP and shorter 6MWT distance combined identified a high-risk subgroup (26%) in both HFmrEF and HFrEF populations.
Conclusions:
- BNP levels and 6MWT distance are robust independent predictors of outcome in patients with chronic HF, irrespective of LVEF.
- These functional and biomarker assessments provide significant prognostic information across the spectrum of LV systolic dysfunction.
- The HFmrEF classification does not diminish the established prognostic utility of BNP and 6MWT.
Abstract:
The prognostic insights of heart failure (HF) with mid-range (40-49%) ejection fraction (HFmrEF) are not fully elucidated. We investigated whether the six-minutes walking test (6MWT) and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) are predictive of outcome across the spectrum of LV systolic dysfunction and whether the HFmrEF cut-off impacts the risk stratification abilities of these tests. We studied 538 outpatients, aged 70±12 years, 28% females, with stable chronic HF and EF<50%, 349 with HFmrEF and 189 with HFrEF. End-points were all-cause and cardiac death. HFrEF patients were more often male, with ischemic etiology, severe symptoms, higher BNP levels, and cardiac mortality than HFmrEF subjects. During 32 (15-46) months follow-up, 123 (23%) patients died, 95 (18%) for cardiac causes. Cut-offs of 125 pg/ml for BNP and 360 meters for 6MWT distance were associated with lower all-cause (10% vs 38%, p<0.001 and 10% vs 26%, p<0.001, respectively) and cardiac mortality (6% vs 36%, p<0.001 and 8% vs 23%, p<0.001, respectively). BNP (HR 2.144, 95%CI, 1.403-3.276) and 6MWT walked distance (HR 1.923, 95%CI, 1.195-3.096) independently predicted outcome, after adjustment for age, gender, obesity, kidney dysfunction, ischemic etiology, NYHA class, unlike the 40% LVEF threshold. Model discrimination and survival differences were significant across LVEF strata. Higher BNP levels and shorter walked distance combined identified patients (26% overall) at particularly poor prognosis in both phenotype groups. Despite differences between HFmrEF and HFrEF patients in clinical and biomarker profile, BNP levels and 6MWT walked distance retain prognostic value over the entire spectrum of LV systolic dysfunction.
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