Related Experiment Video
Updated: Jan 21, 2026

Modeling Spontaneous Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma mRCC in Mice Following Nephrectomy
Published on: April 29, 2014
Five-Year Survival and Correlates Among Patients With Advanced Melanoma, Renal Cell Carcinoma, or Non-Small Cell Lung
Suzanne L Topalian1, F Stephen Hodi2, Julie R Brahmer3
1Department of Surgery, Sidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg-Kimmel Institute for Cancer Immunotherapy, Baltimore, Maryland.
Importance:
Nivolumab, a monoclonal antibody that inhibits programmed cell death 1, is approved by the US Food and Drug Administration for treating advanced melanoma, renal cell carcinoma (RCC), non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), and other malignancies. Data on long-term survival among patients receiving nivolumab are limited.
Objectives:
To analyze long-term overall survival (OS) among patients receiving nivolumab and identify clinical and laboratory measures associated with tumor regression and OS.
Design, Setting, And Participants:
This was a secondary analysis of the phase 1 CA209-003 trial (with expansion cohorts), which was conducted at 13 US medical centers and included 270 patients with advanced melanoma, RCC, or NSCLC who received nivolumab and were enrolled between October 30, 2008, and December 28, 2011. The analyses were either specified in the original protocol or included in subsequent protocol amendments that were implemented between 2008 and 2012. Statistical analysis was performed from October 30, 2008, to November 11, 2016.
Intervention:
In the CA209-003 trial, patients received nivolumab (0.1-10.0 mg/kg) every 2 weeks in 8-week cycles for up to 96 weeks, unless they developed progressive disease, achieved a complete response, experienced unacceptable toxic effects, or withdrew consent.
Main Outcomes And Measures:
Safety and activity of nivolumab; OS was a post hoc end point with a minimum follow-up of 58.3 months.
Results:
Of 270 patients included in this analysis, 107 (39.6%) had melanoma (72 [67.3%] male; median age, 61 [range, 29-85] years), 34 (12.6%) had RCC (26 [76.5%] male; median age, 58 [range, 35-74] years), and 129 (47.8%) had NSCLC (79 [61.2%] male; median age, 65 [range, 38-85] years). Overall survival curves showed estimated 5-year rates of 34.2% among patients with melanoma, 27.7% among patients with RCC, and 15.6% among patients with NSCLC. In a multivariable analysis, the presence of liver (odds ratio [OR], 0.31; 95% CI, 0.12-0.83; P = .02) or bone metastases (OR, 0.31; 95% CI, 0.10-0.93; P = .04) was independently associated with reduced likelihood of survival at 5 years, whereas an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0 (OR, 2.74; 95% CI, 1.43-5.27; P = .003) was independently associated with an increased likelihood of 5-year survival. Overall survival was significantly longer among patients with treatment-related AEs of any grade (median, 19.8 months; 95% CI, 13.8-26.9 months) or grade 3 or more (median, 20.3 months; 95% CI, 12.5-44.9 months) compared with those without treatment-related AEs (median, 5.8 months; 95% CI, 4.6-7.8 months) (P < .001 for both comparisons based on hazard ratios).
Conclusions And Relevance:
Nivolumab treatment was associated with long-term survival in a subset of heavily pretreated patients with advanced melanoma, RCC, or NSCLC. Characterizing factors associated with long-term survival may inform treatment approaches and strategies for future clinical trial development.
Trial Registration:
ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00730639.
Insights
Nivolumab (anti-PD-1) showed long-term survival in some advanced melanoma, RCC, and NSCLC patients. Factors like ECOG status and treatment-related AEs influenced survival outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Immunotherapy
- Clinical Trials
Background:
- Nivolumab, a programmed cell death 1 inhibitor, is approved for advanced cancers.
- Long-term survival data for nivolumab treatment are limited.
- This study analyzes long-term outcomes in a phase 1 trial.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess long-term overall survival (OS) in patients treated with nivolumab.
- To identify clinical and laboratory factors associated with tumor regression and OS.
Main Methods:
- Secondary analysis of the phase 1 CA209-003 trial.
- Included 270 patients with advanced melanoma, renal cell carcinoma (RCC), or non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).
- Patients received nivolumab for up to 96 weeks; minimum follow-up was 58.3 months.
Main Results:
- Estimated 5-year survival rates: 34.2% (melanoma), 27.7% (RCC), 15.6% (NSCLC).
- Liver or bone metastases were associated with reduced 5-year survival.
- ECOG performance status of 0 and treatment-related adverse events (any grade or grade ≥3) were associated with increased likelihood of 5-year survival.
Conclusions:
- Nivolumab treatment is linked to long-term survival in a subset of pretreated patients.
- Identifying survival predictors can guide future treatment strategies and clinical trial design.
Related Concept Videos
Cancer Survival Analysis
Correlations
Correlation and Causation
Correlation versus Causation
If the dependent variable increases or decreases when the independent variable increases, there is a positive or negative...
Cancer Cell Migration through Invadopodia
Adaptive Mechanisms in Cancer Cells
Some of the advantages that cancer cells have on normal cells include - enhanced ability to divide without terminally differentiating, induce new blood vessel formation,...
Survival Tree
Building a Survival Tree
Constructing a...

