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Signal Acquisition, Score Interpretation, and Economics of a Non-Invasive Point-of-Care Test for Coronary Artery Disease
Published on: August 9, 2024
Polygenetic risk for coronary artery disease increases hospitalization burden and mortality
Marketa Sjögren1, Peter Almgren1, Olle Melander1
1Department of Clinical Sciences Malmö, Lund University, Sweden.
Insights
A genetic risk score (GRS) for coronary artery disease (CAD) can predict increased hospitalizations and cardiovascular mortality. This genetic predisposition is independent of traditional risk factors, offering potential for early intervention and improved patient outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Genetics and Genomics
- Cardiovascular Disease Research
- Public Health
Background:
- Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a major global health concern and a significant societal cost.
- Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified common genetic variants linked to CAD.
- A genetic risk score (GRS) aggregates single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) to quantify an individual's genetic predisposition to CAD.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if a GRS for CAD can predict future hospitalizations.
- To assess the association between GRS and mortality risk.
- To evaluate the predictive value of GRS independently of established risk factors.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from 23,594 individuals in the Malmö diet and cancer study, free of CAD at baseline.
- Constructed a GRS using 50 SNPs associated with CAD.
- Employed negative binomial regression for hospitalization analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression for mortality risk assessment over a mean follow-up of 17.8 years.
Main Results:
- Individuals in the highest GRS quintile experienced a 10% higher rate of hospitalization (IRR: 1.10) compared to the lowest quintile.
- Hospitalizations were predominantly for cardiovascular reasons (IRR: 1.31) in the highest GRS group.
- A significantly increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality was observed in the highest GRS quintile (HR: 1.44), with no increased risk for non-CVD mortality.
Conclusions:
- Genetic predisposition for CAD, as indicated by GRS, is a significant predictor of hospitalization burden and mortality, particularly from cardiovascular causes.
- The predictive power of GRS for CAD events is evident even when accounting for traditional risk factors.
- Given that GRS-associated risks are potentially modifiable, these findings may guide strategies to reduce healthcare costs and improve longevity.
Background:
Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a leading cause of death worldwide and increasing cost for society. Genome wide association studies (GWAS) have identified common variants associated with CAD. Combining single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) into a genetic risk score (GRS) can estimate an individual's genetic burden.
Objectives:
To investigate whether GRS for CAD can predict hospitalization and mortality.
Methods:
23,594 individuals without CAD at baseline and with full data for all covariates from the population based prospective study Malmö diet and cancer study were investigated. The association between hospitalizations was calculated by negative binomial regression and risk of mortality was calculated by Cox proportional hazards regression. The GRS was constructed from 50 SNPs.
Results:
The study population was divided into quintiles according to the value of GRS. During the mean follow-up time of 17.8 years, 17,254 individuals were hospitalized at least once. Individuals in the highest quintile of GRS were hospitalized 10% more often than individuals in the lowest quintile (IRR: 1.10 [95% CI 1.04-1.16], p = 0.001), mainly for cardiovascular reasons (IRR: 1.31 [95% CI 1.20-1.43], p = 5.17 × 10-10). These individuals had highly increased risk of CVD mortality (HR: 1.44 [1.25-1.66], p = 6.56 × 10-7) but not the risk of mortality due to other causes.
Conclusion:
Our results suggest that genetic predisposition for CAD can predict hospitalization burden and mortality, especially due to cardiovascular causes, independently of traditional risk factors. As the risk conferred by the GRS is partially modifiable, our results may help to reduce societal costs, individual suffering and prolong life.
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