Polygenetic risk for coronary artery disease increases hospitalization burden and mortality

Marketa Sjögren1, Peter Almgren1, Olle Melander1

  • 1Department of Clinical Sciences Malmö, Lund University, Sweden.

Insights

A genetic risk score (GRS) for coronary artery disease (CAD) can predict increased hospitalizations and cardiovascular mortality. This genetic predisposition is independent of traditional risk factors, offering potential for early intervention and improved patient outcomes.

Area of Science:

  • Genetics and Genomics
  • Cardiovascular Disease Research
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a major global health concern and a significant societal cost.
  • Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified common genetic variants linked to CAD.
  • A genetic risk score (GRS) aggregates single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) to quantify an individual's genetic predisposition to CAD.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine if a GRS for CAD can predict future hospitalizations.
  • To assess the association between GRS and mortality risk.
  • To evaluate the predictive value of GRS independently of established risk factors.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from 23,594 individuals in the Malmö diet and cancer study, free of CAD at baseline.
  • Constructed a GRS using 50 SNPs associated with CAD.
  • Employed negative binomial regression for hospitalization analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression for mortality risk assessment over a mean follow-up of 17.8 years.

Main Results:

  • Individuals in the highest GRS quintile experienced a 10% higher rate of hospitalization (IRR: 1.10) compared to the lowest quintile.
  • Hospitalizations were predominantly for cardiovascular reasons (IRR: 1.31) in the highest GRS group.
  • A significantly increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality was observed in the highest GRS quintile (HR: 1.44), with no increased risk for non-CVD mortality.

Conclusions:

  • Genetic predisposition for CAD, as indicated by GRS, is a significant predictor of hospitalization burden and mortality, particularly from cardiovascular causes.
  • The predictive power of GRS for CAD events is evident even when accounting for traditional risk factors.
  • Given that GRS-associated risks are potentially modifiable, these findings may guide strategies to reduce healthcare costs and improve longevity.
Abstract

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