Evaluating the Effectiveness of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Reducing Mastectomy for Women With Breast Cancer

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy in breast cancer reduced mastectomy rates by 7% to 13% in randomized trials. However, the differential effects for women with different stages, receptor subtypes, and ages are unknown. We compared mastectomy rates in women who did vs did not receive neoadjuvant chemotherapy in 18 patient subgroups. The main objective was to quantify the potential benefit from neoadjuvant chemotherapy in reducing mastectomy rates for each subgroup.

Our retrospective analysis used data from the National Cancer Data Base, which includes approximately 70% of incident cancers across the United States. Absolute risk reductions for mastectomy were determined for 18 subgroups of clinical stage, receptor subtype, and age group. In each subgroup, propensity score weighting balanced measured covariates between women treated with vs without neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

A total of 55 709 patients were analyzed. In clinical stage IIA disease, only patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive tumors had reduced mastectomy rates associated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (age < 60 years, 12%; age ≥ 60 years, 12.6%). For stage IIB cancers, neoadjuvant chemotherapy was associated with an absolute reduction in mastectomy rates of 5.9% in women younger than age 60 years with hormone receptor-positive/HER2- disease, 8.2% to 10.7% for triple-negative disease, and 11.7% to 17.4% for HER2+ disease. For stage IIIA, the reductions in mastectomy rates ranged from 6.6% to 15.9%.

In an analysis of patients treated across the United States, we found that neoadjuvant chemotherapy was associated with a reduction in mastectomy rates to a similar magnitude overall as shown in randomized trials, but this benefit varied widely by patient subgroup. This study provides novel information to help women make informed decisions regarding treatment.