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Updated: Jan 21, 2026

In Silico Clinical Trials for Cardiovascular Disease
Published on: May 27, 2022
Plasma metabolites mediate the effect of HbA1c on incident cardiovascular disease
Xuesi Dong1,2, Wei Zhou1,3, Hu Li4
1Clinical Metabolomics Center, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, China.
Insights
Glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) influences cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk by altering specific endogenous metabolites. These metabolic changes mediate the link between HbA1c levels and the development of CVD.
Area of Science:
- Metabolomics
- Cardiovascular Research
- Endocrinology
Background:
- Elevated glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) is a known risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD).
- The precise mechanisms by which HbA1c contributes to CVD remain incompletely understood, particularly the role of endogenous metabolites.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate whether endogenous metabolites mediate the association between HbA1c and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD).
- To identify specific metabolic pathways involved in HbA1c-related CVD pathogenesis.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 2019 plasma samples using liquid chromatography-quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectrometry.
- Application of logistic and linear regression to identify metabolites associated with both HbA1c and CVD.
- Utilized VanderWeele's mediation approach to quantify direct and indirect effects.
Main Results:
- Identified 48 metabolites associated with both HbA1c and CVD risk.
- Forty-four of these metabolites acted as significant mediators (indirect effect odds ratio [OR]IE 0.997–6.098), explaining 0.4%–85.4% of HbA1c's effect on CVD.
- Pathway analysis revealed significant mediation by butanoate, alanine/aspartate/glutamate, TCA cycle, phenylalanine, and glycerophospholipid metabolism.
Conclusions:
- Endogenous metabolites significantly mediate the relationship between HbA1c and incident CVD.
- These findings offer novel insights into the pathophysiological mechanisms linking glycemic control to cardiovascular risk.
Background:
We aim to discover whether HbA1c affects incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) through regulating endogenous metabolites.
Methods And Results:
Totally, 2019 plasma samples were analyzed by liquid chromatography-quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectrometry. Logistic regression and linear regression were used to screen metabolites which were associated with both CVD and HbA1c. The VanderWeele's mediation approach was performed to assess the direct effect and indirect effect (IE) in the counterfactual model. Forty-eight metabolites showed an association with both HbA1c and CVD risk. Forty-four of the 48 metabolites worked as mediators mediated in HbA1c's effect on CVD (odds ratio [OR]IE from 0.997 to 6.098, false discovery rate q < 0.05, mediated proportion from 0.4% to 85.4%). Pathway enrichment analysis indicated that different metabolic pathway showed significant IE (butanoate metabolism ORIE = 1.058, mediated proportion = 16.0%; alanine, aspartate and glutamate metabolism ORIE = 1.082, mediated proportion = 21.8%; TCA (citric acid) cycle metabolism ORIE = 1.048, mediated proportion = 13.8%; phenylalanine metabolism ORIE = 1.067, mediated proportion = 18.4%; glycerophospholipid metabolism ORIE = 3.007, mediated proportion = 82.2%; all the P < .01).
Conclusions:
Our findings suggest that metabolites mediate the effect of HbA1c on incident CVD and provide a new study sight into pathogenesis of CVD.
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