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A computational model for designing energy behaviour change interventions
Nataliya Mogles1, Julian Padget2, Elizabeth Gabe-Thomas3
12University of Bristol, Senate House, Tyndall Ave, Bristol, BS8 1TH UK.
Understanding energy behavior change is complex. This study introduces an agent-based model integrating personal values and energy literacy to evaluate interventions and persuasive technologies effectively.
Area of Science:
- Computational Social Science
- Behavioral Economics
- Energy Systems
Background:
- Conflicting literature on energy feedback's impact on behavior change necessitates a holistic approach.
- Energy consumption is influenced by a complex interplay of individual and societal factors.
- Existing models often fail to integrate diverse determinants of energy behavior.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an integrated agent-based computational model for energy consumption behavior change interventions.
- To create a flexible framework accommodating various models influencing consumption decisions.
- To enable in-silico evaluation of persuasive technologies before real-world deployment.
Main Methods:
- An agent-based computational model integrating personal values, energy literacy, and social practices.
- Incorporation of persuasive technology design strategies within the model framework.
- Validation using survey data and energy consumption data from a 2-year field study in Exeter, UK.
Main Results:
- The model demonstrates superior prediction of energy-saving behavior compared to random models.
- Preliminary results indicate accurate estimation of persuasive technology effects on behavior.
- The validated framework effectively connects behavioral determinants with intervention strategies.
Conclusions:
- The developed agent-based model offers a novel framework for understanding and influencing energy behavior change.
- The model's ability to predict behavior and evaluate interventions provides a valuable tool for policymakers and researchers.
- Integration into adaptive decision-making systems can enhance the efficacy of energy behavior change initiatives.
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