Reasons to strike first
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Updated: Jan 21, 2026

Exploring the Role of Deontic Reasoning and World Knowledge in Wason´s Selection Task
Published on: July 22, 2025
William Buckner1, Luke Glowacki2
1Department of Anthropology, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA 95616. wvbuckner@ucdavis.eduhttps://traditionsofconflict.com/about/.
Abstract:
De Dreu and Gross predict that attackers will have more difficulty winning conflicts than defenders. As their analysis is presumed to capture the dynamics of decentralized conflict, we consider how their framework compares with ethnographic evidence from small-scale societies, as well as chimpanzee patterns of intergroup conflict. In these contexts, attackers have significantly more success in conflict than predicted by De Dreu and Gross's model. We discuss the possible reasons for this disparity.
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