Predictors of early left ventricular dysfunction after mitral valve replacement for rheumatic valvular disease

The purpose of this study was to determine the predictors of early left ventricular (LV) dysfunction in patients with rheumatic heart disease (RHD) after mitral valve replacement (MVR). We examined echocardiographic and nonechocardiographic predictors.

This study included 571 patients receiving MVR for RHD from 2012 to 2017. Their baseline characters, preoperative examination, operation data, and postoperative echocardiography were collected retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to evaluate the predictors of early LV dysfunction after MVR. The LV dysfunction was defined as left ventricular end-ejection fraction (LVEF) <50%. The interaction model was further performed to calculate interaction effects between predictors selected by logistic regression.

In the 571 patients, 164 (28.7%) had early LV dysfunction after the operation, but only 94 (16.5%) had a preoperative LVEF <50%. Significant differences between two groups (LVEF ≥50% or LVEF <50%) were finally revealed in LV end-diastolic dimension, preoperative atrial fibrillation (AF), preoperative LVEF <50%, and the white blood cell (WBC) count measured after admission (>10 × 10⁹ L ^-1 ) in the multivariate logistic regression. Corresponding odds ratios (ORs) were 1.06, 1.82, 3.63, and 2.64, respectively. Diabetes, lesion type, LV end-systolic dimension, aspartate transaminase, alanine transaminase, and serum creatinine were statistically significant (P < .05) in univariate logistic regression, with matched ORs 2.45, 1.66/0.65, 1.07, 2.50, 1.83, and 2.90, respectively. However, these variables were not significant anymore in the multivariate logistic model. Besides, the OR of early postoperative LV dysfunction increased to 7.00 when preoperative AF, preoperative LVEF <50%, and WBC >10 × 10⁹ L^-1 were all present.

The preoperative LV dysfunction, a large LV volume, AF and over-normal WBC could independently predict postoperative LV dysfunction.