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Updated: Jan 20, 2026

Modeling Persistent Pseudomonas aeruginosa Infection in Wounded Zebrafish Larvae
Published on: June 13, 2025
Tracking Pseudomonas aeruginosa transmissions due to environmental contamination after discharge in ICUs using
Thi Mui Pham1, Mirjam Kretzschmar1,2, Xavier Bertrand3,4
1Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care of the UMC Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Abstract:
Pseudomonas aeruginosa (P. aeruginosa) is an important cause of healthcare-associated infections, particularly in immunocompromised patients. Understanding how this multi-drug resistant pathogen is transmitted within intensive care units (ICUs) is crucial for devising and evaluating successful control strategies. While it is known that moist environments serve as natural reservoirs for P. aeruginosa, there is little quantitative evidence regarding the contribution of environmental contamination to its transmission within ICUs. Previous studies on other nosocomial pathogens rely on deploying specific values for environmental parameters derived from costly and laborious genotyping. Using solely longitudinal surveillance data, we estimated the relative importance of P. aeruginosa transmission routes by exploiting the fact that different routes cause different pattern of fluctuations in the prevalence. We developed a mathematical model including background transmission, cross-transmission and environmental contamination. Patients contribute to a pool of pathogens by shedding bacteria to the environment. Natural decay and cleaning of the environment lead to a reduction of that pool. By assigning the bacterial load shed during an ICU stay to cross-transmission, we were able to disentangle environmental contamination during and after a patient's stay. Based on a data-augmented Markov Chain Monte Carlo method the relative importance of the considered acquisition routes is determined for two ICUs of the University hospital in Besançon (France). We used information about the admission and discharge days, screening days and screening results of the ICU patients. Both background and cross-transmission play a significant role in the transmission process in both ICUs. In contrast, only about 1% of the total transmissions were due to environmental contamination after discharge. Based on longitudinal surveillance data, we conclude that cleaning improvement of the environment after discharge might have only a limited impact regarding the prevention of P.A. infections in the two considered ICUs of the University hospital in Besançon. Our model was developed for P. aeruginosa but can be easily applied to other pathogens as well.
Insights
Environmental contamination after patient discharge plays a minor role in Pseudomonas aeruginosa transmission within intensive care units (ICUs). Focusing on patient-to-patient transmission is key for infection control strategies against this multidrug-resistant pathogen.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Epidemiology
- Mathematical Modeling
Background:
- Pseudomonas aeruginosa (P. aeruginosa) is a significant cause of healthcare-associated infections, especially in intensive care units (ICUs).
- Understanding transmission routes of multidrug-resistant P. aeruginosa in ICUs is vital for effective infection control.
- Limited quantitative data exists on the contribution of environmental contamination to P. aeruginosa transmission in ICUs.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the relative importance of different P. aeruginosa transmission routes within ICUs.
- To quantify the contribution of environmental contamination to P. aeruginosa transmission.
- To evaluate the impact of post-discharge environmental cleaning on infection prevention.
Main Methods:
- Developed a mathematical model incorporating background transmission, cross-transmission, and environmental contamination.
- Utilized longitudinal surveillance data, including patient admission/discharge and screening results.
- Employed a data-augmented Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for parameter estimation.
Main Results:
- Both background and cross-transmission were significant contributors to P. aeruginosa spread in the studied ICUs.
- Environmental contamination after patient discharge accounted for only approximately 1% of total transmissions.
- Patient shedding contributes to the environmental pathogen pool, with decay and cleaning reducing it.
Conclusions:
- Improving post-discharge environmental cleaning may have a limited impact on preventing P. aeruginosa infections in these ICUs.
- The findings suggest that patient-to-patient transmission routes are more critical for P. aeruginosa spread.
- The developed mathematical model is adaptable for analyzing transmission routes of other pathogens.
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