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Updated: Jan 20, 2026

Operant Procedures for Assessing Behavioral Flexibility in Rats
Published on: February 15, 2015
Inconsistent correlation between procedural volume and publicly reported outcomes in adult cardiac operations
Valentino Bianco1, Edgar Aranda-Michel1, Ibrahim Sultan1
1Division of Cardiac Surgery, Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, University of Pittsburgh and Heart and Vascular Institute, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Insights
Public reporting of surgical outcomes is common, but this study found no consistent link between the number of adult cardiac surgeries performed and patient mortality or readmission rates. Procedural volume does not reliably predict outcomes in publicly reported data.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Surgery
- Health Services Research
- Public Health
Background:
- Statewide public reporting initiatives aim to increase transparency in surgical outcomes.
- Evaluating the relationship between procedural volume and reported outcomes is crucial for quality assessment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the correlation between procedural volume and publicly reported outcomes in adult cardiac surgery.
- To determine if surgeon or hospital volume predicts observed-to-expected (OE) mortality and readmission rates.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of the Pennsylvania Health Care Cost Containment Council (PHC4) database for adult cardiac surgeries (2014-2016).
- Included isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), isolated valve surgery, and combined CABG-valve procedures.
- Correlated procedural volume with operative mortality and 30-day readmission using observed-to-expected (OE) ratios and weighted linear regression.
Main Results:
- The study analyzed 29,578 adult cardiac operations performed by 182 surgeons at 60 hospitals.
- An inconsistent correlation was observed between surgeon/hospital volume and OE operative mortality or 30-day readmission for all included procedures.
- Expected mortality and readmission rates were calculated for surgeons and hospitals across different surgery types.
Conclusions:
- No consistent association was found between surgeon or hospital procedural volume and publicly reported outcomes (mortality, readmission) in adult cardiac surgery.
- These findings suggest that procedural volume is not a reliable predictor of surgeon or hospital-level outcomes in publicly available data.
- Further research may be needed to identify more robust predictors of quality in cardiac surgery outcomes.
Background:
Statewide public reporting provides transparent surgical outcomes. The objective of this study is to evaluate the correlation between procedural volume and publicly reported outcomes following adult cardiac surgery.
Methods:
The Pennsylvania Health Care Cost Containment Council (PHC4) statewide public reporting databases were analyzed. Isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), isolated valve surgery, and CABG plus valve surgery performed between 2014 and 2016 were included. The primary outcomes were operative mortality and 30-day readmission. Expected operative mortality and 30-day readmission were calculated using the risk models developed by PHC4. Observed-to-expected (OE) ratios were correlated with procedural volume using weighted linear regression analysis.
Results:
The study included 29 578 operations (16 641 isolated CABGs, 8618 isolated valves, and 4319 CABG plus valves) performed by 182 surgeons at 60 hospitals. The expected risk of operative mortality for surgeons was 1.5%, 1.8%, and 4.3%, and for hospitals 1.5%, 1.7%, and 4.3% for isolated CABGs, isolated valves, and CABG plus valves, respectively. Expected 30-day readmission for surgeons and hospitals was 10.3%, 13.4%, and 14.4% and 10.2%, 13.2%, and 14.3% for the same operations, respectively. There was an inconsistent correlation between surgeon and hospital volume and OE operative mortality or 30-day readmission for any of the index operations.
Conclusion:
In this study of 29 578 index adult cardiac operations there is not a consistent association between surgeon or hospital volume and mortality or readmission for publicly reported outcomes. These data suggest that volume is not a reliable predictor of surgeon or hospital level OE outcomes in publicly reported data.
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