Clinical factors and ultrasound parameters to predict successful vaginal delivery following labour induction

Morbidity and complications are higher with caesarean delivery after labour induction. We aimed to evaluate which maternal/neonatal pregnancy characteristics and ultrasound parameters are useful in predicting successful vaginal delivery following labour induction. In this retrospective observational study, several maternal and foetal characteristics were studied in 197 primigravidae women at 38 or more gestational weeks before induction. Multivariate analysis showed that maternal age (odds ratio [OR] 0.907, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 0.826-0.995, p = .038), term body mass index (BMI; OR 0.909, 95% CI 0.828-0.997, p = .044), and foetal engagement (OR 3.295, 95% CI 1.232-8.810, p = .017) were independent predictors for a successful vaginal delivery in an induced labour. An older maternal age, high term BMI and un-engagement were associated with a failed labour induction.IMPACT STATEMENTWhat is already known on this subject? Labour induction is being used more frequently worldwide, but it is not always easy to predict those patients who will progress to a vaginal delivery and those who will require a caesarean section. Because caesarean sections are associated with a higher mortality and morbidity in patients who have undergone a labour induction, it is important to identify the factors predictive of successful vaginal delivery after labour induction.What do the results of this study add? Multivariate analysis showed that maternal age, term BMI, and foetal engagement were independent predictors for successful vaginal delivery in an induced labour.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? We found that maternal age, term body mass index and foetal engagement were important variables to consider when predicting a successful labour induction. A comprehensive assessment of these variables should be done before inducing labour to limit any unnecessary mortality and morbidity associated with a failed induction. Women should be given accurate information regarding the risks of induction based on their individual characteristics.