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Updated: Jan 19, 2026
Timing and Consequences on Behavior
How improving access times had unforeseen consequences: a case study in a Dutch hospital
Oskar Roemeling1, Kees Ahaus2, Folkert van Zanten3
1Innovation Management & Strategy, University of Groningen Faculty of Economics and Business, Groningen, The Netherlands o.p.roemeling@rug.nl.
Increasing hospital capacity to reduce patient access times can paradoxically create artificial variability, leading to unpredictable waiting times. This study highlights unintended consequences of capacity management in healthcare services.
Area of Science:
- Healthcare Management
- Operations Research
- Service Operations
Background:
- Reducing patient access times is a key goal in healthcare.
- Increasing service capacity is a common strategy to improve access.
- The impact of variability on capacity utilization and access times requires further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the consequences of increasing healthcare capacity on patient access times.
- To explore how patient waiting times and resource utilization are affected by variability.
- To identify the drivers of fluctuations in access times within a secondary care setting.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective case study combining primary and secondary data.
- Analysis of hospital database records (patient flow, resource utilization, access times).
- Qualitative data from field observations and semi-structured interviews with healthcare professionals.
Main Results:
- Managerial decisions to increase capacity and patient inflow led to artificial variability.
- Significant and undesirable fluctuations in patient access times were observed.
- A 'multiplier effect' was identified, exacerbating fluctuations in service delivery.
Conclusions:
- Increasing capacity does not always straightforwardly reduce access times.
- Capacity expansion can introduce new forms of artificial variability in healthcare.
- This phenomenon has detrimental consequences for patient access and service efficiency in healthcare environments.
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