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Identification of the optimal growth charts for use in a preterm population: An Australian state-wide retrospective
Natasha L Pritchard1,2, Richard J Hiscock1,2, Elizabeth Lockie1
1Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Insights
Fetal growth charts, particularly Gestation Related Optimal Weight (GROW) customized charts, better identify preterm infants at high risk for stillbirth and adverse perinatal outcomes compared to birthweight charts. INTERGROWTH charts identified the highest-risk infants for mortality.
Area of Science:
- Perinatal Medicine
- Neonatology
- Obstetrics
Background:
- Preterm infants are at high risk for placental insufficiency and adverse perinatal outcomes.
- The optimal growth chart for identifying high-risk preterm infants remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the performance of different birthweight and fetal growth charts in identifying preterm infants at increased risk of adverse perinatal outcomes.
- To determine which growth chart best identifies preterm infants at risk for stillbirth and other adverse outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of 28,968 preterm infants (24.0–36.9 weeks gestation) in Victoria, Australia (2005–2015).
- Comparison of two birthweight charts and three fetal growth charts (INTERGROWTH-21st, WHO, GROW customised).
- Analysis of proportions classified as small for gestational age (SGA) and their subsequent perinatal outcomes (stillbirth, mortality, NICU admission, etc.).
Main Results:
- Fetal growth charts classified a greater proportion of infants as SGA (<10th centile) than birthweight charts, especially at earlier gestations.
- Gestation Related Optimal Weight (GROW) customised charts identified the largest number of SGA infants and stillborn infants as SGA.
- INTERGROWTH charts identified fewer SGA infants but those identified had the highest risk of stillbirth and perinatal mortality.
Conclusions:
- Fetal growth charts, including GROW customised, more accurately identify preterm infants with true fetal growth restriction and increased risk of adverse outcomes.
- INTERGROWTH charts identify a smaller cohort but a particularly high-risk group of preterm infants.
- GROW customised charts identified the largest proportion of preterm infants at increased risk of perinatal mortality.
Background:
Preterm infants are a group at high risk of having experienced placental insufficiency. It is unclear which growth charts perform best in identifying infants at increased risk of stillbirth and other adverse perinatal outcomes. We compared 2 birthweight charts (population centiles and INTERGROWTH-21st birthweight centiles) and 3 fetal growth charts (INTERGROWTH-21st fetal growth charts, World Health Organization fetal growth charts, and Gestation Related Optimal Weight [GROW] customised growth charts) to identify which chart performed best in identifying infants at increased risk of adverse perinatal outcome in a preterm population.
Methods And Findings:
We conducted a retrospective cohort study of all preterm infants born at 24.0 to 36.9 weeks gestation in Victoria, Australia, from 2005 to 2015 (28,968 records available for analysis). All above growth charts were applied to the population. Proportions classified as <5th centile and <10th centile by each chart were compared, as were proportions of stillborn infants considered small for gestational age (SGA, <10th centile) by each chart. We then compared the relative performance of non-overlapping SGA cohorts by each chart to our low-risk reference population (infants born appropriate size for gestational age [>10th and <90th centile] by all intrauterine charts [AGAall]) for the following perinatal outcomes: stillbirth, perinatal mortality (stillbirth or neonatal death), Apgar <4 or <7 at 5 minutes, neonatal intensive care unit admissions, suspicion of poor fetal growth leading to expedited delivery, and cesarean section. All intrauterine charts classified a greater proportion of infants as <5th or <10th centile than birthweight charts. The magnitude of the difference between birthweight and fetal charts was greater at more preterm gestations. Of the fetal charts, GROW customised charts classified the greatest number of infants as SGA (22.3%) and the greatest number of stillborn infants as SGA (57%). INTERGROWTH classified almost no additional infants as SGA that were not already considered SGA on GROW or WHO charts; however, those infants classified as SGA by INTERGROWTH had the greatest risk of both stillbirth and total perinatal mortality. GROW customised charts classified a larger proportion of infants as SGA, and these infants were still at increased risk of mortality and adverse perinatal outcomes compared to the AGAall population. Consistent with similar studies in this field, our study was limited in comparing growth charts by the degree of overlap, with many infants classified as SGA by multiple charts. We attempted to overcome this by examining and comparing sub-populations classified as SGA by only 1 growth chart.
Conclusions:
In this study, fetal charts classified greater proportions of preterm and stillborn infants as SGA, which more accurately reflected true fetal growth restriction. Of the intrauterine charts, INTERGROWTH classified the smallest number of preterm infants as SGA, although it identified a particularly high-risk cohort, and GROW customised charts classified the greatest number at increased risk of perinatal mortality.
Related Concept Videos
Population Growth
Regression Toward the Mean
Comparing the Survival Analysis of Two or More Groups

