Kinetics of mean platelet volume predicts mortality in patients with septic shock

Fanny Vardon-Bounes1,2, Marie-Pierre Gratacap2, Samuel Groyer1

  • 1Anesthesiology and Critical Care Unit, Toulouse University Hospital, Toulouse, France.

Plos One
|October 18, 2019
PubMed
Abstract

Insights

Mean platelet volume (MPV) changes over 15 days can predict mortality in septic shock patients. A higher MPV on day 10 indicates increased 90-day mortality risk, aiding clinical outcome prediction.

Area of Science:

  • Critical Care Medicine
  • Hematology
  • Clinical Pathology

Background:

  • Thrombocytopenia is a known poor prognostic indicator in septic patients, associated with higher mortality and longer ICU stays.
  • Mean platelet volume (MPV) is a potential predictive marker for mortality.
  • Investigating MPV kinetics may offer prognostic value in septic shock.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the prognostic value of MPV kinetics during the first 15 days post-hospital admission for clinical outcomes in septic shock patients.
  • To determine if MPV trends can predict 90-day mortality in this cohort.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 301 septic patients admitted to the ICU.
  • Three-month mortality was the primary endpoint.
  • Multidimensional analysis and classification and regression trees were used to assess prognostic value and predict survival probability.

Main Results:

  • MPV kinetics differed significantly between 90-day survivors and non-survivors over 15 days (except day 3).
  • An MPV >11.6 fL on day 10 independently predicted 90-day mortality (HR 3.796, p=0.0001).
  • Base excess <1.9 mmol/L on day 4 also predicted mortality (HR 2.972, p=0.0054).

Conclusions:

  • MPV increase during the first 15 days post-ICU admission was observed in non-survivors of septic shock.
  • Day 10 MPV >11.6 fL is an independent predictor of 90-day mortality.
  • Continuous MPV monitoring could aid in stratifying mortality risk for septic shock patients.