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Two new models for the estimation of foetal weight more than a week before delivery: An MRI study
Kedan Liao1, Lian Tang1, Cheng Peng1
1Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, NanFang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Purpose:
To develop and evaluate new formulas to determine the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based estimated foetal weight (EFW) more than a week before delivery.
Methods:
The study included 153 women with singleton pregnancies who gave birth to live, normal neonates within 15-21 days of the MRI examination for whom foetal body volume biometry data were available at term. All foetuses were randomly divided into a testing group (102) and a validation group (51). Regression analysis was used to determine the single volume or the combination of volume and MRI-to-delivery interval that determined the EFW. The accuracy of the two new models and the primary existing model developed by Baker et al. were evaluated in validation group.
Results:
The two new models had similar mean percentage errors (MPEs) (3.9% vs 3.9%) and proportions of pregnancies with an MPE < 10% (92.2% vs 90.2%); the model incorporating volume and MRI-to-delivery had relatively higher proportions of pregnancies with an MPE < 5% (72.5% vs 64.7%) and EFWs in agreement with the birth weights. The error in the Baker model was almost twice that in the new models.
Conclusion:
The accuracy of foetal weight estimation more than one week before delivery using the model developed by Baker et al. was poor and was significantly improved by the new models. A combination of the foetal body volume and MRI-to-delivery interval will enable the more accurate determination of the EFWs.
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