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The Bat-and-Ball Problem: Stronger evidence in support of a conscious error process
Jerome D Hoover1, Alice F Healy1
1Department of Psychology and Neuroscience, University of Colorado Boulder.
Decision (Washington, D.C.)
|October 22, 2019
Summary
Cognitive errors in reasoning are not always unconscious. This study shows people often consciously notice misleading information but still make mistakes, especially when thinking fast.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive Psychology
- Decision Making
- Human Error
Background:
- Traditional reasoning models propose errors stem from unconscious neglect of critical information.
- The 'cognitive miser' theory suggests people opt for easier problem-solving, avoiding complex data.
Purpose of the Study:
- To challenge the unconscious substitution hypothesis in reasoning errors.
- To investigate conscious awareness of error-inducing information.
- To examine post-decision confidence and error sensitivity.
Main Methods:
- The study tested conscious recall of error-inducing phrases in the bat-and-ball problem.
- Response confidence was compared between standard and control versions of the problem.
- Social-metacognitive and latency measures were employed.
Main Results:
- Incorrect reasoners demonstrated accurate recall of the error-inducing phrase.
- Error sensitivity was linked to post-decision confidence and social-metacognitive measures.
- Time spent reasoning correlated with post-decision confidence.
Conclusions:
- Human error in reasoning may involve conscious awareness of misleading information.
- Post-decision confidence and metacognitive sensitivity play roles in error processing.
- Reasoning time influences confidence, suggesting a link between effort and perceived accuracy.
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