[Non-communicable diseases in Southern Tunisia: morbidity, mortality profile and chronological trends]

Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) represent a major public health problem worldwide. Giving their impact on the morbidity and mortality burden, understanding their chronological trends over time is a priority for epidemiological surveillance. We aimed to determine the epidemiological specificities of NCDs and to study their chronological trends over the period 2010-2015.

We retrospectively collected data of hospitalized patients from the regional registry of morbidity and mortality in the Southern University Hospital of Tunisia during the period 2010-2015.

We included 18,081 patients with NCDs aged ≥ 25 years. The distribution of NCDs was characterized by the predominance of cardiovascular disease (CVD) (10,346 cases, 57.2%). Chronological trends analysis of NCDs showed that NCDs remained globally stable between 2010 and 2015. The same result applied to the group of cancers, chronic respiratory diseases and diabetes mellitus. However, CVD increased significantly between 2010 and 2015 (ρ = 0.84; p = 0.036). The proportion of CVD increased significantly among men (ρ = 0.87; p = 0.019) and elderly (ρ = 0.88; p = 0.019). The hospital mortality rate of NCDs increased significantly (ρ = 0.85; p = 0.031), notably for CVDs (ρ = 0.94; p = 0.005).

Chronological trends analysis revealed a significant rise in the morbidity and mortality burden of CVDs during the period 2010-2015. It is imperative, therefore, to strengthen health care for these patients and to introduce the concept of integrated NCDs prevention as an essential component of the health system.