Validating the use of contrast-induced nephropathy prediction models in endovascular aneurysm repairs

Evelyn Lixuan Cheng1, Qiantai Hong1, Enming Yong1

  • 1Vascular Surgery Service, Department of General Surgery, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore.

Insights

Existing contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) models, developed for cardiac procedures, were validated for endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR). Five models showed good predictive ability for CIN in EVAR patients, aiding risk assessment.

Area of Science:

  • Nephrology
  • Vascular Surgery
  • Radiology

Background:

  • Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) risk models are primarily based on percutaneous coronary interventions.
  • No existing CIN models have been validated for vascular procedures like endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR).

Purpose of the Study:

  • To validate established contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) prediction models in patients undergoing EVAR.
  • To assess the utility of existing CIN models for identifying at-risk patients in a vascular surgery context.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective review of 216 patients who underwent EVAR between January 2008 and December 2015.
  • Evaluation of acute kidney injury incidence at 24, 48, 72 hours, and follow-up.
  • Validation of 8 selected CIN prediction models using C-statistics.

Main Results:

  • Eight of 12 evaluated CIN prediction models were suitable for EVAR patients.
  • Five models demonstrated good discriminative ability (C-statistics >0.70).
  • The Mehran and Tziakas models achieved the highest C-statistics (0.75).

Conclusions:

  • Five of the 12 evaluated CIN prediction models are useful for identifying patients at risk of CIN after EVAR.
  • Validation of CIN models is crucial for accurate risk stratification in vascular procedures.
Abstract

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