How kinesin waits for ATP affects the nucleotide and load dependence of the stepping kinetics

Conventional kinesin, responsible for directional transport of cellular vesicles, takes multiple nearly uniform 8.2-nm steps by consuming one ATP molecule per step as it walks toward the plus end of the microtubule (MT). Despite decades of intensive experimental and theoretical studies, there are gaps in the elucidation of key steps in the catalytic cycle of kinesin. How the motor waits for ATP to bind to the leading head is controversial. Two experiments using a similar protocol have arrived at different conclusions. One asserts that kinesin waits for ATP in a state with both the heads bound to the MT, whereas the other shows that ATP binds to the leading head after the trailing head detaches. To discriminate between the 2 scenarios, we developed a minimal model, which analytically predicts the outcomes of a number of experimental observable quantities (the distribution of run length, the distribution of velocity [[Formula: see text]], and the randomness parameter) as a function of an external resistive force (F) and ATP concentration ([T]). The differences in the predicted bimodality in [Formula: see text] as a function of F between the 2 models may be amenable to experimental testing. Most importantly, we predict that the F and [T] dependence of the randomness parameters differ qualitatively depending on the waiting states. The randomness parameters as a function of F and [T] can be quantitatively measured from stepping trajectories with very little prejudice in data analysis. Therefore, an accurate measurement of the randomness parameter and the velocity distribution as a function of load and nucleotide concentration could resolve the apparent controversy.