Long-term (>10-year) clinical follow-up after young embolic stroke/TIA of undetermined source

To date, the pathophysiology of first-ever and recurrent stroke/TIA still remains unclear in young patients with embolic stroke/TIA of undetermined source (ESUS). Clinical studies with long-term follow-up in young ESUS patients are necessary to investigate the underlying pathophysiology of first-ever and recurrent stroke/TIA in this patient population, in particular the role of new-onset atrial fibrillation.

Our aim was to study the long-term (>10-year) clinical outcome of young patients (<50 years) with ESUS.

This cohort study included all patients aged ≤ 50 years who underwent transoesophageal echocardiography for diagnostic work-up of ESUS during 1996-2008 from one tertiary center. All patients were contacted by telephone between September-November 2018 to update clinical information from medical records. The clinical outcomes of this study were incidence rates of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, recurrent stroke/TIA, new-onset clinical AF, and ischemic vascular events.

In total, 108 patients (57% female, mean age 40 ± 7.2 years [range 19-50 years], n = 72 stroke) were included. Across clinical follow-up (median 13[IQR 10-16] years), 24 patients died (n = 14 cardiovascular). The 15-year incidence rate of recurrent stroke/TIA was 15% (incidence rate = 1.09[95%CI 0.54-1.65]/100 patient-years) and a 5.5% incidence of new-onset clinical AF (incidence rate = 0.44[95%CI 0.09-0.79]/100 patient-years) following ESUS.

The incidence of recurrent stroke/TIA is relatively high during long-term clinical follow-up of young patients with ESUS. In contrast, new-onset clinical AF is relatively low and therefore may not play an important part in the pathophysiology of first-ever and recurrent stroke/TIA of these patients.