Microvolt T-wave alternans at the end of surgery is associated with postoperative mortality in cardiac surgery

Chang-Hoon Koo1,2, Hyung-Chul Lee1, Tae Kyong Kim1,3

  • 1Department of Anaesthesiology and Pain medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Republic of Korea.

Scientific Reports
|November 24, 2019
PubMed

Insights

Microvolt T-wave alternans (MTWA) after cardiac surgery significantly predicts in-hospital and mid-term mortality. Combining MTWA with EuroSCORE II improves mortality prediction accuracy in high-risk patients.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Cardiac Electrophysiology
  • Clinical Outcomes Research

Background:

  • Microvolt T-wave alternans (MTWA) indicates electrical repolarization dispersion, a known risk factor for arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.
  • Assessing MTWA in cardiac surgery patients may offer prognostic value for postoperative outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the association between MTWA and both in-hospital and mid-term mortality following cardiac surgery.
  • To evaluate the predictive performance of MTWA, alone and in combination with EuroSCORE II, for mortality.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of electrocardiograms from 330 cardiac surgery patients to measure MTWA at the end of surgery.
  • Utilized official national data and electronic health records for in-hospital and mid-term outcome assessment.
  • Employed univariate, multivariate, and Cox proportional hazards models to determine mortality associations.

Main Results:

  • MTWA at the end of surgery was strongly associated with in-hospital mortality (OR 59.2, p<0.001) and mid-term mortality (HR 4.3, p<0.05).
  • MTWA positive patients faced a 60-fold increase in in-hospital and a 4-fold increase in mid-term mortality.
  • The predictive model for MTWA showed an AUC of 0.764, increasing to 0.929 when combined with EuroSCORE II.

Conclusions:

  • MTWA measured post-cardiac surgery is an independent predictor of both in-hospital and mid-term mortality.
  • Combining MTWA with EuroSCORE II significantly enhances the prediction of mortality in this patient cohort.
  • MTWA provides valuable prognostic information for cardiac surgery patients, aiding in risk stratification.