Methods for constructing treatment episodes and impact on exposure-outcome associations

To assess the impact on exposure time and outcome misclassifications, and consequent impact on exposure-outcome associations from treatment episode construction. We investigated the dosage assumptions of 1 unit per day, and 1 DDD per day, versus actual prescribed dosage under different handling of gaps and overlaps of prescriptions.

Data on mirtazapine and citalopram exposure (years 2006-2014) from the Swedish Prescribed Drug register were used. Via a within individuals design we compared method A, based on actual dosage, with methods B and C based on 1 unit of drug per day and 1 DDD per day assumptions, respectively, including consideration of gaps and overlaps. Four outcomes were used, hospitalizations and outpatient visits for all and for psychiatric causes.

Relative to method A, both alternative methods lead to misclassification of exposure time. With regard to outcome misclassifications, method B overestimates the effect of the exposure on the outcome in 77% and 100% of exposure definition comparisons for mirtazapine and citalopram respectively, while 23% of the comparisons for mirtazapine results in underestimation of exposure-outcome associations. Conversely, treatment episodes based on DDD (method C) result in underestimation of the exposure-outcome association in 100% and 87.5% of exposure definition comparisons for mirtazapine and citalopram respectively, while 12.5% of the comparisons for citalopram results in overestimation of the exposure-outcome associations.

The study provides results that have consistent clinical relevance. We have showed that a non-accurate construction of exposure time may lead to errors on outcome detection during exposed time, and consequently affect conclusions on safety or efficacy profile of a treatment.