An innovative hybrid model based on outlier detection and correction algorithm and heuristic intelligent optimization
Jianzhou Wang1, Pei Du1, Yan Hao1
1School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian, 116025, China.
Journal of Environmental Management
|November 25, 2019
Summary
This study introduces a novel hybrid model for accurate air pollution forecasting. By incorporating outlier detection, correction, and optimized parameters, the model significantly improves prediction accuracy for environmental planning.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Data Science
- Computational Science
Background:
- Accurate air pollution forecasting is crucial for emission reduction and public health advisories.
- Existing forecasting models often neglect outlier detection and parameter optimization, impacting reliability.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a hybrid model that addresses limitations in current air pollution forecasting methods.
- To enhance prediction accuracy through outlier management and intelligent parameter optimization.
Main Methods:
- Data preprocessing techniques for outlier detection and correction in time series.
- Optimization of Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) parameters using a heuristic intelligent algorithm.
- Hybrid model development integrating outlier handling and optimized ELM for subseries forecasting.
Main Results:
- The proposed hybrid model demonstrates superior prediction accuracy compared to existing models.
- Outlier detection and correction significantly improve the reliability of air pollution forecasts.
- Optimized model parameters enhance the performance of the Extreme Learning Machine.
Conclusions:
- The hybrid model offers a robust and accurate approach to air pollution forecasting.
- Emphasizes the critical role of data preprocessing and parameter optimization in time series analysis.
- Provides a feasible method for effective air quality management and emission control strategies.
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