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Updated: Jan 3, 2026

Competing-Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Multiple Primary Colorectal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Published on: September 27, 2024
Increased risk for second primary rectal cancer after pelvic radiation therapy
Anouk J M Rombouts1, Niek Hugen1, Marloes A G Elferink2
1Department of Surgery, Radboud University Medical Centre, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.
Background:
The aim of this study was to analyse the association between pelvic radiation therapy (RT) and the development of rectal cancer as a second primary cancer.
Methods:
Data on patients treated for a primary pelvic cancer between 1989 and 2007 were retrieved from the population-based Netherlands Cancer Registry. Patients treated for more than one pelvic cancer were excluded. To estimate the cumulative incidence of rectal cancer, Fine and Gray's competing risk model was used with death as a competing event. Survival was calculated using multivariable Cox regression.
Results:
A total of 192,658 patients were included, of which 62,630 patients were treated with RT for their pelvic cancer. Primary tumours were located in the prostate (50.1%), bladder (19.2%), endometrium (13.9%), ovaries (10.0%), cervix (6.4%) and vagina (0.4%). At a median interval of 6 years (range 0-24), 1369 patients developed a rectal cancer. Overall, the risk for rectal cancer was increased in patients who underwent RT for the previous pelvic cancer (subhazard ratio [SHR]: 1.72, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.55-1.91). Analysis for each tumour location specifically showed an increased risk in patients who received RT for prostate (SHR: 1.89, 95% CI: 1.66-2.16) or endometrial cancer (SHR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.13-2.00). A protective effect of RT was observed for patients with bladder cancer (SHR 0.67, 95% CI: 0.47-0.94). There was no survival difference between patients with rectal cancer with or without previous RT (hazard ratio: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.79-1.11).
Conclusions:
Patients who received RT for a previous pelvic cancer were at increased risk for rectal cancer. The risk was modest and pronounced in patients receiving RT for prostate and endometrial cancer.
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