Frequency Modulated Möbius Model Accurately Predicts Rhythmic Signals in Biological and Physical Sciences

Motivated by applications in physical and biological sciences, we developed a Frequency Modulated Möbius (FMM) model to describe rhythmic patterns in oscillatory systems. Unlike standard symmetric sinusoidal models, FMM is a flexible parametric model that allows deformations to sinusoidal shape to accommodate commonly seen asymmetries in applications. FMM model parameters are easy to estimate and the model is easy to interpret complex rhythmic data. We illustrate FMM model in three disparate applications, namely, circadian clock gene expression, corticoptropin levels in depressed patients and the temporal light intensity patterns of distant stars. In each case, FMM model is demonstrated to be flexible, scientifically plausible and easy to interpret. Analysis of synthetic data derived from patterns of real data, suggest that FMM model fits the data very well both visually as well as in terms of the goodness of fit measure total mean squared error. An R language based software for implementing FMM model is available.