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    Area of Science:

    • Control Theory
    • Computational Biology
    • Network Science

    Background:

    • Probabilistic Boolean control networks (PBCNs) are increasingly used to model complex biological systems.
    • Uncertainty in selection probabilities poses a significant challenge for controlling these networks.
    • Existing control methods often struggle to account for probabilistic transitions and state variable dynamics.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To develop an optimal control framework for PBCNs with Beta-distributed selection probabilities.
    • To address uncertainty in both selection probabilities and state variable transitions.
    • To formulate the problem as a solvable multistage decision problem.

    Main Methods:

    • Formulation of a Mayer-type optimal control problem for PBCNs.
    • Definition of a cost function based on expectation over probabilities and transitions.
    • Application of dynamic programming and a novel semitensor product-based optimization algorithm.

    Main Results:

    • An equivalent formulation of the optimal control problem as a multistage decision problem.
    • A novel optimization algorithm for solving the identified problem.
    • Demonstration of the framework's effectiveness using a biological model of apoptosis protein.

    Conclusions:

    • The proposed framework and algorithms are effective and feasible for optimal control of PBCNs with probabilistic uncertainty.
    • The study provides a robust method for analyzing and controlling complex biological networks.
    • This work advances the application of optimal control theory in computational biology.