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Updated: Jan 1, 2026

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Quantifying Stratospheric Temperature Signals and Climate Imprints From Post-2000 Volcanic Eruptions
Matthias Stocker1, Florian Ladstädter1,2, Hallgeir Wilhelmsen1,3
1Wegener Center for Climate and Global Change (WEGC) University of Graz Graz Austria.
Summary
Small volcanic eruptions significantly impact stratospheric temperature, contributing up to 20% to temperature trends. Understanding these volcanic impacts is crucial for accurate climate change analysis.
Area of Science:
- Atmospheric Science
- Climate Science
- Volcanology
Background:
- Stratospheric temperature is influenced by volcanic eruptions.
- The impact of smaller eruptions is difficult to quantify due to natural variability.
- Recent research focuses on understanding the effects of small volcanic events.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify the temperature signals from small volcanic eruptions (2002-2016).
- To analyze the spatial and temporal characteristics of these volcanic impacts.
- To assess the contribution of volcanic activity to stratospheric temperature trends.
Main Methods:
- Utilized vertically resolved aerosol data.
- Employed precise temperature observations from radio occultation.
- Analyzed data from 2002 to 2016.
Main Results:
- Identified characteristic space-time temperature signals linked to specific eruptions.
- Observed significant warming in the lower stratosphere.
- Detected cooling signals in the mid-stratosphere for some eruptions.
- Determined volcanic contribution to temperature trends up to 20% based on latitude and altitude.
Conclusions:
- Detailed knowledge of the vertical structure of volcanic temperature impacts is essential.
- Accurate trend analysis requires separating natural variability from anthropogenic changes.
- Small volcanic eruptions play a notable role in stratospheric temperature dynamics.
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