Physical Function and Frailty for Predicting Adverse Outcomes in Older Primary Care Patients

To explore the predictive ability of the Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB), Late Life Function and Disability Instrument-Function component (LLFDI-function) and frailty phenotype, for falls, hospitalizations, emergency department (ED) visits, and low self-rated health (SRH) over 1 and 2 years in older adults.

Secondary analysis of data from a longitudinal study, the Boston Rehabilitative Impairment Study of the Elderly.

Primary care.

Adults 65 years and older at risk for disability who completed ≥1 follow-up call (N=391).

None.

We computed separate logistic regression models using the SPPB, LLFDI-function, and frailty phenotype as independent variables and falls, hospitalizations, ED visits, and SRH over 1 and 2 years as dependent variables. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed and the areas under the curves calculated.

Participants had a mean age of 76.5±7.1 years. The SPPB, LLFDI-function, and frailty phenotype all predicted hospitalizations and low SRH over a 1- and 2-year timeframe (odds ratio [OR] min-max, 1.35-1.51 and 1.67-3.07, respectively). Over 2 years, the SPPB predicted ED visits (OR, 1.28), and the LLFDI-function predicted falls (OR, 1.31). The LLFDI-function predicted low SRH better than the frailty phenotype over 1 year. There were no differences between the measures for any of the other outcomes.

The SPPB, LLFDI-function, and frailty phenotype had similar accuracy for predicting falls, hospitalizations, ED visits, and low SRH over 1 and 2 years among older primary care patients at risk for disability. As a result, when considering the optimal screening tool for older adults, the choice between a measure of function and frailty may ultimately depend on clinical preference and context.