Seroepidemiology of human immunodeficiency viruses in Africa

The first generation of serological tests for anti-HIV-1 gave so many false positives with African sera that it was wrongly postulated that the virus was endemic in Africa. As there is no simian or other virus sufficiently closely related to HIV-1 as to suggest a recent common ancestor, the evolution of HIV-1 is obscure and there is no current evidence to support the hypothesis of an African origin. However, the similarity of HIV-2 to SIV and its geographical distribution do suggest an evolution of this virus in west Africa. The earliest anti-HIV-1 positive serum was from a subject in Kinshasa in 1959. Seroprevalence rose in pregnant women in Kinshasa from 0.25% in 1970, to 3.0% in 1980 and 5.7% in 1986. When two sexually promiscuous groups are compared, seropositivity rose sharply in female prostitutes in Nairobi from 4% in 1981, to 59% in 1984 and 64% in 1986, a curve which is approximately parallel to, but three years later than that of homosexual males in San Francisco. In central and east Africa, HIV-1 is now epidemic from Congo to Kenya and from Uganda to Zimbabwe. In west Africa, both HIV-2 and HIV-1 are epidemic: seroprevalence of HIV-2 is highest in southern Senegal, Guinea-Bissau and Côte d'Ivoire: HIV-1 has the highest frequency in Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana. HIV-2 has not been reported, and HIV-1 is pre-epidemic in Africa north of the Sahara, Nigeria, Angola, Mozambique and southern Africa, being found at significant frequency only in female prostitutes, patients with STD, or, in Morocco and South Africa only, in male homosexuals. Seroprevalence is greatest in female prostitutes and patients with STD: infection is more frequent in urban than in rural populations, except in Uganda. The peak frequency is at 30-34 yr in males and 20-24 yr in females. Other groups at risk are infants born to infected mothers, and those requiring blood transfusions, especially pre-school children, patients with sickle-cell disease and pregnant women. The doubling time for seropositivity is about one year in the sexually active age range in some populations. Even at existing seroprevalence, decimation or worse of the most productive age groups is inevitable during the next few years in certain countries.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)