Excess brain age in the sleep electroencephalogram predicts reduced life expectancy

The brain age index (BAI) measures the difference between an individual's apparent "brain age" (BA; estimated by comparing EEG features during sleep from an individual with age norms), and their chronological age (CA); that is BAI = BA-CA. Here, we evaluate whether BAI predicts life expectancy. Brain age was quantified using a previously published machine learning algorithm for a cohort of participants ≥40 years old who underwent an overnight sleep electroencephalogram (EEG) as part of the Sleep Heart Health Study (n = 4877). Excess brain age (BAI >0) was associated with reduced life expectancy (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.12, [1.03, 1.21], p = 0.002). Life expectancy decreased by -0.81 [-1.44, -0.24] years per standard-deviation increase in BAI. Our findings show that BAI, a sleep EEG-based biomarker of the deviation of sleep microstructure from patterns normal for age, is an independent predictor of life expectancy.