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Trends and patterns in homicides in Italy: A 34-year descriptive study
Monica Vichi1, Silvia Ghirini2, Paolo Roma3
1Statistical Service, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, viale Regina Elena, 299 - 00161 Roma, Italy.
Forensic Science International
|January 17, 2020
Summary
Homicide rates in Italy decreased from 1980-2014, with fewer firearm deaths. A 1990s peak in male homicides correlated with mafia activity, suggesting a "civilizing process" overall.
Area of Science:
- Criminology
- Sociology
- Public Health
Background:
- Homicide trends provide insights into societal changes and public safety.
- Understanding patterns of violence is crucial for effective crime prevention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze homicide trends and patterns in Italy between 1980 and 2014.
- To investigate the influence of mafia subculture on homicide rates.
- To examine demographic and regional variations in homicide victimisation.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the Italian Mortality Database (Italian National Institute of Statistics).
- Employed joinpoint regression analysis for temporal trend analysis.
- Assessed mafia social penetration and analyzed differences across age, gender, region, and method.
Main Results:
- Observed an overall reduction in homicides, including firearm-related deaths.
- Identified significant differences in homicides involving male versus female victims.
- A peak in male homicides in the early 1990s was linked to increased mafia penetration.
Conclusions:
- The declining homicide rates suggest a broader societal
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