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A generic arboviral model framework for exploring trade-offs between vector control and environmental concerns.

Gonzalo P Suarez1, Oyita Udiani2, Brian F Allan3

  • 1Department of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996, United States.

Journal of Theoretical Biology
|January 19, 2020
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Summary

Public perception of disease risk and pesticide use significantly impacts mosquito-borne illness spread. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for effective public health strategies against arboviruses like Zika.

Keywords:
Environmental protectionEpidemiologyMathematical modelMosquito-borneRisk perception

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Area of Science:

  • Public Health
  • Epidemiology
  • Environmental Health

Background:

  • Public health interventions must balance disease control with public concerns.
  • Mosquito-borne diseases like Zika virus present a dual risk: pathogen spread and pesticide use.
  • Public perception of both disease severity and pesticide risks influences intervention acceptance.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a modeling framework for understanding public perception's impact on vector-borne disease spread.
  • To assess how varying public tolerance for disease and pesticides affects arboviral transmission dynamics.
  • To provide insights for public health decision-making regarding mosquito control strategies.

Main Methods:

  • Developed a generic mathematical model to simulate infectious pathogen spread.
  • Incorporated public perception of disease risk and pesticide use as dynamic variables.
  • Parameterized the model for Zika virus transmission by Aedes aegypti mosquitoes.

Main Results:

  • Public risk perception of both disease and pesticides can drastically alter disease spread.
  • Varying public tolerance levels significantly impact the trajectory of mosquito-borne epidemics.
  • The model demonstrates a strong link between public acceptance and effective vector control.

Conclusions:

  • Public health models for arboviral disease mitigation must integrate public perception of chemical controls.
  • Understanding public demand for or rejection of pesticides is essential for effective vector-borne disease management.
  • This framework aids in tailoring public health strategies to population-specific risk perceptions.