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Against the De Minimis Principle
Björn Lundgren1,2,3, H Orri Stefánsson1,2,4
1Institute for Futures Studies, Stockholm, Sweden.
Summary
De minimis decision principles suggest ignoring small risks. However, this article argues against de minimis thresholds in decision theory, as they are impractical for bounded agents or ignore critical risks.
Area of Science:
- Decision Theory
- Risk Assessment
- Normative Ethics
Background:
- The de minimis principle allows for the dismissal of risks deemed sufficiently small.
- This principle is often applied in various fields, including risk management and policy-making.
- However, its theoretical underpinnings and practical applicability remain subjects of debate.
Purpose of the Study:
- To critically evaluate the role and validity of de minimis thresholds in normative decision-making.
- To demonstrate the inherent limitations of applying de minimis principles in practical scenarios.
- To propose an alternative framework for decision-making that accounts for bounded rationality.
Main Methods:
- Conceptual analysis of decision theory principles.
- Examination of the logical implications of de minimis thresholds.
- Exploration of agent constraints in information processing and decision-making.
Main Results:
- The application of de minimis thresholds in normative decision theory is fundamentally flawed.
- De minimis principles either lead to the neglect of significant risks or are unusable by agents with cognitive limitations.
- The principle fails to provide a universally applicable or ethically sound approach to risk management.
Conclusions:
- De minimis thresholds should be excluded from normative theories of decision-making.
- Decision-making frameworks must accommodate the realities of bounded rationality and information constraints.
- A more robust approach is needed to address risks, particularly those with severe consequences, regardless of their perceived magnitude.
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