Cryptococcal antigenemia is associated with meningitis or death in HIV-infected adults with CD4 100-200 cells/mm³

Cryptococcal antigen (CrAg) screening with fluconazole prophylaxis has been shown to prevent cryptococcal meningitis and mortality for people living with HIV (PLWH) with CD4 < 100 cells/mm³. While cryptococcal meningitis occurs in individuals with CD4 100-200 cells/mm³, there is limited evidence that CrAg screening predicts cryptococcal meningitis or mortality among this group with moderate immunosuppression. Current IDSA and WHO clinical guidelines recommend restricting CrAg screening to PLWH with CD4 < 100 cells/mm³.

We conducted a prospective cohort study of PLWH 18+ years who had not initiated ART in South Africa. We followed participants for 14 months to determine onset of cryptococcal meningitis or all-cause mortality. At study completion, we retrospectively tested stored serum samples for CrAg using an enzyme immunoassay (EIA). We calculated CD4-stratified incidence rates of outcomes and used Cox proportional hazards to measure associations between CrAg positivity and outcomes.

We enrolled 2383 PLWH, and 1309 participants had serum samples tested by CrAg EIA. The median CD4 was 317 cells/mm³ (interquartile range: 173-491 cells/mm³). By CD4 count at baseline, there were 209 individuals with a CD4 count of 100-200 cells/mm³ and available CrAg test results. Of these, four (1.9%) tested positive. Two of four (IR: 58.8 per 100 person-years) CrAg+ participants and 11 of 205 (IR: 5.6 per 100 person-years) CrAg- participants developed cryptococcal meningitis or died for an overall rate of death or cryptococcal meningitis that was 10.0-times higher for those who were CrAg+ (95% confidence interval: 2.2-45.3). Among those with CD4 < 100 cell/mm³ and CrAg EIA test results (N = 179), ten (5.6%) participants tested CrAg+. Among this group, seven of ten (IR: 137.6 per 100 person-years) CrAg+ participants and 26 of 169 (IR: 17.8 per 100 person-years) CrAg- participants developed cryptococcal meningitis or died, for a rate of death or cryptococcal meningitis that was 6.3-times higher for those who were CrAg+ (95% confidence interval: 2.7-14.6).

Although few PLWH with moderate immunosuppression screened CrAg positive, a positive CrAg test was predictive of increased risk of cryptococcal meningitis or death. Similar to those with a CD4 < 100 cell/mm³, systematic CrAg screening may reduce morbidity and mortality in PLWH with CD4 100-200 cells/mm³.