Three-institution study on applicability of initial brain metastasis velocity for breast cancer brain metastasis patients undergoing stereotactic radiosurgery

This study aimed to validate whether the recently-proposed prognostic grading system, initial brain metastasis velocity (iBMV), is applicable to breast cancer patients receiving stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS). We focused particularly on whether this grading system is useful for patients with all molecular types, i.e., positive versus negative for EsR, PgR and HER2.

This was an institutional review board-approved, retrospective cohort study using our database, prospectively accumulated at three gamma knife institutes, during the 20-year-period since 1998. We excluded patients for whom the day of primary cancer diagnosis was not available, had synchronous presentation, lacked information regarding molecular types, and/or had received pre-SRS radiotherapy and/or surgery. We ultimately studied 511 patients categorized into two classes by iBMV scores, i.e., < 2.00 and ≥ 2.00.

The median iBMV score for the entire cohort was 0.97 (IQR 0.39-2.84). Median survival time (MST) in patients with iBMV < 2.00, 15.9 (95% CI 13.0-18.6, IQR 7.5-35.5) months, was significantly longer than that in patients with iBMV ≥ 2.00, 8.2 (95% CI 6.8-9.9, IQR 3.9-19.4) months (HR 1.582, 95% CI: 1.308-1.915, p < 0.0001). The same results were obtained in patients with EsR (-), PgR (-), HER2 (+) and HER2 (-) cancers, while MSTs did not differ significantly between iBMV < 2.00 vs ≥ 2.00 in patients with EsR (+) and PgR (+) cancers.

This system was clearly shown to be applicable to breast cancer patients with SRS-treated BMs. However, this system is not applicable to patients with hormone receptor (+) breast cancer.