Predictive Markers of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Transient Ischemic Attack

Kenneth Bruun Pedersen1, Charlotte Madsen2, Niels C F Sandgaard1

  • 1Department of Cardiology, Odense University Hospital, Denmark.

Insights

Atrial fibrillation (AF) detection in stroke patients is crucial. Atherosclerosis markers like carotid intima-media thickness and coronary artery calcium scores are poor predictors of AF. Brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) showed some predictive value.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Neurology
  • Biomarkers

Background:

  • Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a leading cause of cardio-embolism in stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA) patients.
  • Long-term monitoring for AF using insertable cardiac monitors (ICMs) is possible but requires careful patient selection due to resource limitations.
  • AF is linked to atherosclerosis, suggesting atherosclerosis markers might guide AF monitoring.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate atherosclerosis markers (carotid intima-media thickness, carotid plaques, coronary artery calcium score) and serum biomarkers for predicting AF in TIA patients.
  • To assess the utility of these markers in guiding patient selection for AF monitoring.

Main Methods:

  • One hundred fourteen TIA patients without AF were monitored using ECG, 72-hour Holter, and ICM for a median of 2.2 years.
  • Carotid intima-media thickness, carotid plaques, coronary artery calcium score, and serum biomarkers (including BNP) were analyzed.
  • Statistical analysis compared patients who developed AF versus those who did not.

Main Results:

  • Patients who developed AF were older but shared similar comorbidities with non-AF patients.
  • Thicker carotid intima-media and presence of carotid plaques were observed in AF patients, but this difference disappeared after adjusting for age and sex.
  • No significant difference in coronary artery calcium score was found. Elevated brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels were associated with a higher likelihood of AF (OR 5.96).

Conclusions:

  • Carotid intima-media thickness and coronary artery calcium score are poor predictors of AF in TIA patients.
  • Serum biomarkers, except for BNP, showed no significant predictive value for AF in this cohort.
  • Larger studies are needed to confirm the predictive role of BNP and other potential biomarkers for AF in TIA patients.
Abstract

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