Extent of cortisol suppression at baseline predicts improvement in HPA axis function during antidepressant treatment

A dysregulation in the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA)-axis function has been repeatedly observed in major depressive disorders (MDD). Normalization of this dysregulation, i.e. of cortisol suppression after glucocorticoid receptor (GR)-stimulation, may be mandatory for clinical remission in some patient subgroups. However, there are no biological measures applied in the clinical setting to identify patient subgroups with HPA axis alterations.

We aimed to define a suppression index of cortisol concentrations before and after GR stimulation with dexamethasone to predict the variability in improvement of HPA axis activity during antidepressant treatment.

A modified dexamethasone suppression test (mDST) was performed with blood withdrawal for cortisol and ACTH measurement before and 3 h after 1.5 mg dexamethasone intake at 18:00 in two cohorts of depressed patients treated in a naturalistic setting. The discovery sample consisted of 106 patients, the replication sample of 117 patients. The suppression index was defined as cCORTpreDEXcCORTpostDEX.

The baseline suppression index explained 27.4 % of the variance in changes of HPA axis activity before and after treatment with antidepressants. Age, cCORTpreDEXcACTHpreDEX at baseline and sex explained further variance up to 56.2 % (stepwise linear regression, p = 7.8e^-8). A threshold of the suppression index at baseline was determined by ROC analysis and revealed, that only patients with a maximum index of 2.32 achieved a normalization of the HPA axis activity after antidepressant treatment. In the replication sample, the threshold was 2.86. However, the estimated suppression index was not associated with treatment response.

For the first time, by establishing a short-term suppression index of cortisol before and after GR-stimulation a threshold could be identified to predict improvement of HPA axis activity during antidepressant therapy. After replication in further studies this index may help to identify patients who benefit from a specific treatment that targets components of the HPA axis in the future.