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[The AIDS pandemic].

J Chin1, A Luger

  • 1Department Surveillance, Forecasting and Impact Assessment, World Health Organization Headquarters, Genf, Schweiz.

Wiener Medizinische Wochenschrift (1946)
|October 31, 1988
PubMed
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This study identifies three distinct global patterns of Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) infection distribution. By mid-1988, an estimated 5 million people were infected, with significant social and economic impacts anticipated.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Global Health

Context:

  • Analysis of global HIV infection distribution patterns.
  • Data collected from 138 countries up to June 30, 1988.
  • Estimated 5 million HIV infections globally by mid-1988, with 1.5 million women affected.

Purpose:

  • To categorize and describe distinct geographical patterns of HIV infection.
  • To provide an overview of the reported AIDS cases and projected future trends.
  • To highlight the anticipated societal and economic consequences of the AIDS pandemic.

Summary:

  • Three distinct patterns of HIV infection distribution were identified globally.
  • Type 1: North America, Western Europe, parts of South America, Australia, New Zealand.
  • Type 2: Africa (sub-Saharan), Caribbean. Type 3: Eastern Europe, North Africa, Middle East, Asia, Pacific, Latin America.

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  • Over 200,000 AIDS cases reported by mid-1988, with projections of over a million by the early 1990s.
  • Impact:

    • The AIDS pandemic is expected to have profound social and economic consequences in affected countries.
    • Understanding distribution patterns is crucial for targeted public health interventions.
    • The scale of infection and disease necessitates urgent global attention and resource allocation.