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Satellite Precipitation Characterization, Error Modeling, and Error Correction Using Censored Shifted Gamma
Daniel B Wright1, Dalia B Kirschbaum2, Soni Yatheendradas2
1Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI.
This study enhances satellite precipitation estimates by using the Censored Shifted Gamma Distribution (CSGD) to model errors in the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission Multi-Satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA). Merging TMPA with MERRA-2 data significantly reduces random errors, improving near-realtime precipitation accuracy.
Area of Science:
- Hydrology
- Remote Sensing
- Atmospheric Science
Background:
- Satellite multisensor precipitation products (SMPPs) are valuable but limited by accuracy issues.
- Systematic biases and random errors affect precipitation occurrence and magnitude estimates from SMPPs.
Purpose of the Study:
- To characterize the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission Multi-Satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) using the Censored Shifted Gamma Distribution (CSGD).
- To compare TMPA precipitation data against the North American Land Data Assimilation System Phase 2 (NLDAS-2) reference dataset.
- To develop and apply a CSGD-based error modeling framework to quantify and reduce TMPA errors.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Censored Shifted Gamma Distribution (CSGD) to model precipitation occurrence and magnitude.
- Compared TMPA with the NLDAS-2 reference precipitation dataset across the conterminous United States.
- Employed a CSGD-based error modeling framework to quantify TMPA errors and merge TMPA with MERRA-2 atmospheric data.
Main Results:
- Climatological CSGD characterization revealed significant regional differences between TMPA and NLDAS-2 in precipitation magnitude and occurrence probability.
- The error modeling framework successfully quantified TMPA errors relative to NLDAS-2.
- Merging TMPA with MERRA-2 data demonstrated robust reductions in random error, particularly for stratiform precipitation.
Conclusions:
- The CSGD provides a robust method for characterizing and correcting satellite precipitation estimation errors.
- Merging satellite precipitation data with atmospheric reanalysis products like MERRA-2 offers a promising approach to improve precipitation accuracy.
- Improvements were more substantial in the near-realtime version of TMPA compared to the research version.
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