Elevated neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio predicts mortality following elective endovascular aneurysm repair

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an inexpensive and useful inflammatory marker that incorporates the balance of the innate (neutrophil) and adaptive (lymphocyte) immune responses. Data exist on the association between NLR and mortality in various coronary diseases and in cancer surgery, but there is a paucity of data on the impact of preoperative NLR on vascular surgical outcomes. The aim of this study was to evaluate the relationship between preoperative NLR and elective endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR) outcome.

A retrospective review of all patients who underwent elective EVAR at a single institution between 2010 and 2018 was conducted (n = 373). Only patients who had a preoperative complete blood count with differential within 30 days of their operation were included. The NLR was computed by dividing the absolute neutrophil count by the absolute lymphocyte count. A receiver operating characteristic curve was used to determine the optimal cutoff value of NLR with the strongest association with mortality. NLR was dichotomized so that patients with NLR above the threshold were at increased risk of mortality compared with those below it. Continuous variables were analyzed using Wilcoxon nonparametric signed-rank test and categorical variables with the Fisher exact test. A comparison of NLR and mortality was completed using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate factors associated with mortality through 5-year follow-up.

Overall, 108 patients were included in this study. An NLR ≥ 4.0 was found to be associated with mortality (P < .0001). Thirty-two patients composed the High-NLR (NLR ≥ 4.0) group and the remaining 76 patients formed the Low-NLR (NLR < 4.0) group. Baseline characteristics were similar between groups, except that the High-NLR group was older (77.9 vs 74.4; P = .047). At a mean of 36.4 months follow-up, the overall mortality rate was 32.4%. Although there were no differences in the perioperative period, the Kaplan-Meier estimates of mortality were significantly greater in the High-NLR group at 1, 2, and 5 years postoperatively (P < .0001). The mean preoperative NLR of the deceased was higher (5.94 ± 5.20; median, 4.75; interquartile range, 3.17-7.83) than those who survived (2.87 ± 1.61; median, 2.53; interquartile range, 1.97-3.49) (P < .0001). Secondary interventions and sac enlargement rates were similar between groups. On univariable analysis, NLR (hazard ratio [HR], 1.17; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10-1.23; P < .0001), age (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.02-1.11; P = .004), and aneurysm diameter (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.07; P = .003) were associated with mortality. On multivariable analysis, NLR (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.12-1.27; P < .0001), age (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01-1.11; P = .026), and aneurysm diameter (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.02-1.07; P = .003) were associated with mortality.

Patients with an elevated preoperative NLR, irrespective of other comorbidities, may represent a previously unrecognized subset of patients who are at heightened risk of mortality after elective EVAR. A complete blood count with differential is an inexpensive test that may be used as a prognostic indicator for outcome after EVAR. Further research is warranted to identify clinical, pathological, or anatomical factors associated with an elevated NLR and to determine modifiable factors, which may help improve long-term survival.