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Defining predatory journals and responding to the threat they pose: a modified Delphi consensus process
Samantha Cukier1, Manoj Lalu1,2, Gregory L Bryson1,2
1Centre for Journalology, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
A Delphi survey defined predatory journals and publishers, creating consensus on detection checklists, educational outreach, and technological solutions to combat scholarly publishing misconduct.
Area of Science:
- Scholarly communication
- Bibliometrics
- Research integrity
Background:
- Predatory journals and publishers pose a significant threat to research integrity and scholarly communication.
- Lack of a clear consensus definition hinders efforts to combat predatory publishing.
- Existing methods for identifying predatory journals are insufficient.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a consensus definition of predatory journals and publishers using a modified Delphi survey.
- To identify effective educational outreach and policy initiatives.
- To explore technological solutions for detecting and preventing submissions to predatory journals.
Main Methods:
- A modified three-round Delphi survey was conducted online and in-person.
- Snowball and purposive sampling identified 45 diverse experts in predatory publishing and journalology.
- 115 individuals completed the survey, reaching consensus on 18 out of 33 items for the definition.
Main Results:
- Consensus was reached on 18 items contributing to a definition of predatory journals and publishers.
- Key areas for educational outreach and policy include a checklist for detection and public funding for research.
- Technological solutions proposed include a 'one-stop-shop' website and a 'predatory journal research observatory'.
Conclusions:
- The Delphi process successfully informed a consensus definition of predatory journals and publishers.
- The developed definition and proposed initiatives will aid institutions, funders, and stakeholders in avoiding predatory publishing.
- This work provides a foundation for practical guidance and interventions against scholarly publishing misconduct.
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